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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
St Etienne
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Concarneau
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
37%
47%
Both score Ø 35%
30%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 3. · Concarneau 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 30 16 10 4 +26 58
2 Angers 30 16 5 9 +12 53
3 St Etienne 30 15 6 9 +15 51
4 Laval 30 13 9 8 +5 48
5 Rodez 30 12 10 8 +8 46
6 Caen 30 13 6 11 +3 45
7 Guingamp 30 11 10 9 +6 43
8 Paris FC 30 11 10 9 +4 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 10 9 +1 43
10 Amiens 30 10 12 8 -2 42
11 Grenoble 30 10 11 9 +3 41
12 Bordeaux 30 10 9 11 -5 39
13 Ajaccio 30 10 8 12 -6 38
14 Bastia 30 10 7 13 -7 37
15 Dunkerque 30 10 7 13 -13 37
16 Troyes 30 8 11 11 -4 35
17 Annecy 30 8 9 13 -5 33
18 Concarneau 30 9 6 15 -12 33
19 Quevilly Rouen 30 5 13 12 -4 28
20 Valenciennes 30 2 11 17 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Concarneau
1–0 M. Nadé
I. Cardona
23′
Half-time 1–0
A. Moueffek 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
58′
N. Mbuku 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
59′
63′
🔁 P. Bâ
↦ K. Diawara
63′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ B. Mouazan
M. Bentayg 🔁
↦ Y. Maçon
72′
B. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
72′
74′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ C. Rodrigues
M. Rivera 🔁
↦ L. Pétrot
81′
82′
🔁 T. Sinquin
↦ G. Barès
Aimen Moueffek 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Axel Urie
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-1-4-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
27 Y. Maçon D
21 D. Batubinsika D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
5 F. Tardieu M
11 I. Cardona M
7 T. Monconduit M
14 D. Chambost M
18 M. Cafaro M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
29 A. Moueffek
10 N. Mbuku
13 M. Bentayg
6 B. Bouchouari
20 M. Rivera
42 E. Green
26 L. Fomba

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
2 A. Georgen D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
17 M. Etuin D
6 A. Phliponeau M
15 G. Barès M
19 K. Diawara M
20 B. Mouazan M
11 A. Urié M
22 C. Rodrigues F
Bench (7)
14 P. Bâ
21 N. Chadli
9 N. Ndombasi
26 T. Sinquin
1 M. Pattier
33 J. Faussurier
28 I. Paro

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,39
B
7,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.