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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Cittadella
U T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Palermo
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
47%
26%
Both score Ø 42%
42%
42%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 16. · Palermo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Spezia 20 10 8 2 +16 38
3 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
4 Cremonese 20 8 6 6 +5 30
5 Juve Stabia 19 7 7 5 -1 28
6 Bari 20 6 9 5 +4 27
7 Carrarese 20 7 6 7 -2 27
8 Modena 20 5 10 5 +1 25
9 Cesena 20 7 4 9 -1 25
10 Catanzaro 19 4 12 3 +3 24
11 Palermo 19 6 6 7 +2 24
12 Reggiana 20 6 6 8 -2 24
13 Brescia 20 5 8 7 -3 23
14 Mantova 20 5 8 7 -4 23
15 Cosenza 20 4 9 7 -4 21
16 Cittadella 19 5 6 8 -13 21
17 Sampdoria 19 4 8 7 -6 20
18 Frosinone 19 4 7 8 -10 19
19 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 -9 18
20 Sudtirol 20 5 3 12 -14 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Palermo
11′
🟨 Dimitris Nikolaou
Federico Casolari 🟨
27′
Alessandro Salvi 🟨
32′
1–0 A. Vita
F. D'Alessio
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Brunori
↦ R. Insigne
Francesco D'Alessio ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
52′
Francesco D'Alessio 🟨
53′
55′
K. Lund 1–1
J. Desogus 🔁
↦ F. Amatucci
67′
S. Branca 🔁
↦ F. Casolari
67′
72′
🔁 A. Buttaro
↦ N. Pierozzi
72′
🔁 C. Gomes
↦ A. Vasić
81′
🔁 V. Verre
↦ F. Ranocchia
S. Rabbi 🔁
↦ J. Desogus
86′
M. Ravasio 🔁
↦ L. Pandolfi
86′
86′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ J. Le Douaron
87′
🟨 Thomas Henry
2–1 E. Masciangelo
S. Branca
91′
Edoardo Masciangelo 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Alessio Buttaro
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-1-1
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
8 F. Amatucci M
5 F. Casolari M
17 S. Tronchin M
32 E. Masciangelo M
16 A. Vita F
7 L. Pandolfi F
Bench (12)
11 J. Desogus
23 S. Branca
21 S. Rabbi
91 M. Ravasio
20 D. Voltan
10 C. Cassano
22 E. Scquizzato
78 L. Maniero
9 A. Magrassi
28 A. Rizza
64 A. Cecchetto
35 S. Piccinini

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Palermo

3-4-3
1 S. Desplanches G
4 R. Baniya D
43 D. Nikolaou D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
27 N. Pierozzi M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
14 A. Vasić M
11 R. Insigne F
21 J. Le Douaron F
3 K. Lund F
Bench (10)
9 M. Brunori
25 A. Buttaro
6 C. Gomes
26 V. Verre
20 T. Henry
19 S. Appuah
46 S. Sirigu
30 D. Šarić
18 I. Nedelcearu
63 F. Cutrona

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,45
U
3,04
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.