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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Pisa
T S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Salernitana
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
59%
23%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 3. · Salernitana 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 23 16 4 3 +26 52
2 Spezia 23 12 9 2 +21 45
3 Pisa 22 13 6 3 +16 45
4 Cremonese 22 10 6 6 +10 36
5 Juve Stabia 23 8 9 6 -1 33
6 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
7 Palermo 22 8 6 8 +4 30
8 Cesena 23 8 6 9 +0 30
9 Catanzaro 22 5 14 3 +4 29
10 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
11 Cittadella 23 7 7 9 -12 28
12 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
13 Modena 22 5 11 6 -1 26
14 Brescia 22 5 10 7 -3 25
15 Reggiana 22 6 7 9 -3 25
16 Cosenza 23 4 10 9 -7 22
17 Sampdoria 23 4 10 9 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 22 5 6 11 -10 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Salernitana
5′
🟨 Paolo Ghiglione
Marius Marin ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
13′
Marius Marin 🟥
14′
O. Abildgaard 🔁
↦ H. Meister
19′
22′
🟨 Luka Lochoshvili
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 P. Jaroszyński
↦ L. Njoh
46′
🔁 J. Reine-Adélaïde
↦ F. Tongya
47′
🟨 Stefano Girelli
55′
🟨 Gian Marco Ferrari
1–0 S. Moreo
56′
58′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ D. Verde
58′
🔁 F. Caligara
↦ S. Girelli
Adrian Rus 🟨
59′
G. Piccinini 🔁
↦ A. Lind
71′
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ A. Rus
71′
78′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ L. Amatucci
J. Mlakar 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
84′
L. Sernicola 🔁
↦ M. Højholt
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
5 S. Canestrelli D
94 G. Bonfanti D
15 I. Touré M
8 M. Højholt M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
14 H. Meister F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
28 O. Abildgaard
36 G. Piccinini
33 A. Calabresi
7 J. Mlakar
66 L. Sernicola
21 M. Solbakken
10 E. Vignato
30 A. Arena
22 L. Loria
1 Nícolas
13 C. Sussi
80 O. Moruțan

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Salernitana

3-5-2
53 O. Christensen G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
72 S. Girelli M
73 L. Amatucci M
7 F. Tongya M
17 L. Njoh M
31 D. Verde F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
44 P. Jaroszyński
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde
99 A. Raimondo
18 F. Caligara
10 E. Torregrossa
30 P. Stojanović
27 J. Guasone
15 D. Bronn
8 A. Hrustić
16 T. Corazza
55 L. Sepe
21 R. Soriano

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,59
B
4,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.