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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Sassuolo
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Cosenza
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
68%
21%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
53%
26%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 1. · Cosenza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Spezia 19 10 8 1 +18 38
3 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
4 Cremonese 20 8 6 6 +5 30
5 Juve Stabia 19 7 7 5 -1 28
6 Cesena 19 7 4 8 +1 25
7 Catanzaro 19 4 12 3 +3 24
8 Bari 19 5 9 5 +2 24
9 Palermo 19 6 6 7 +2 24
10 Modena 19 5 9 5 +1 24
11 Carrarese 19 6 6 7 -4 24
12 Mantova 19 5 8 6 -2 23
13 Brescia 20 5 8 7 -3 23
14 Cosenza 19 4 9 6 -3 21
15 Reggiana 19 5 6 8 -4 21
16 Cittadella 19 5 6 8 -13 21
17 Sampdoria 19 4 8 7 -6 20
18 Frosinone 19 4 7 8 -10 19
19 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 -9 18
20 Sudtirol 19 5 2 12 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Cosenza
Half-time 0–0
E. Pieragnolo 🔁
↦ J. Doig
57′
L. Moro 🔁
↦ F. Russo
58′
60′
M. Venturi 0–1
Charlys
64′
🔁 M. Ricciardi
↦ R. Ciervo
64′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ L. Strizzolo
68′
🟨 Massimo Zilli
L. Lipani 🔁
↦ A. Ghion
71′
Jeremy Toljan 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 A. Rizzo Pinna
↦ A. Florenzi
85′
🟨 Charlys
1–1 L. Moro
A. Laurienté
86′
88′
🔁 J. Mauri
↦ Charlys
88′
🔁 T. D'Orazio
↦ B. Cimino
2–1 L. Lipani
D. Berardi
90′
E. Iannoni 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
93′
J. Antiste 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
93′
96′
🟨 Michael Venturi
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
11 D. Boloca M
8 A. Ghion M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
91 F. Russo F
Bench (12)
15 E. Pieragnolo
24 L. Moro
35 L. Lipani
40 E. Iannoni
28 J. Antiste
20 M. Lovato
17 Y. Paz
14 Pedro Obiang
44 K. Miranda
25 L. D'Andrea
12 G. Satalino
29 F. Caligara

Coach: F. Grosso

Cosenza

3-4-1-2
1 A. Micai G
29 F. Sgarbi D
23 M. Venturi D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
19 R. Ciervo M
6 Charlys M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
2 B. Cimino M
28 C. Kouan F
32 L. Strizzolo F
34 A. Florenzi F
Bench (11)
16 M. Ricciardi
21 M. Zilli
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
24 J. Mauri
11 T. D'Orazio
22 T. Vettorel
55 A. Hristov
4 P. Martino
12 G. Baldi
10 T. Fumagalli
31 G. Ricci

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
4,87
B
8,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.