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Serie B
Referee: G Sacchi
Juve Stabia
U U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Bari
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 8. · Bari 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 25 18 4 3 +31 58
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 25 13 10 2 +23 49
4 Cremonese 25 11 7 7 +11 40
5 Catanzaro 25 7 15 3 +7 36
6 Bari 24 7 12 5 +5 33
7 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
8 Juve Stabia 24 8 9 7 -3 33
9 Palermo 25 8 7 10 +2 31
10 Cittadella 25 8 7 10 -13 31
11 Modena 25 6 12 7 +0 30
12 Brescia 25 6 11 8 -3 29
13 Reggiana 25 7 7 11 -5 28
14 Sampdoria 25 6 10 9 -6 28
15 Mantova 25 6 10 9 -8 28
16 Carrarese 25 7 6 12 -10 27
17 Cosenza 25 5 10 10 -7 25
18 Salernitana 25 6 7 12 -10 25
19 Sudtirol 25 7 4 14 -13 25
20 Frosinone 25 4 10 11 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Aug -24 Bari – Juve Stabia 1–3

Match report

Juve Stabia Bari
1–0 K. Piscopo
M. Ruggero
21′
D. Quaranta 🔁
↦ M. Bellich
25′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Adorante
47′
Christian Pierobon 🟨
52′
60′
🟨 Mehdi Dorval
60′
🔁 G. Pereiro
↦ G. Maggiore
60′
🔁 K. Lasagna
↦ A. Favilli
68′
🟨 Francesco Vicari
70′
🔁 N. Bellomo
↦ N. Bonfanti
70′
🔁 A. Tripaldelli
↦ M. Dorval
G. Leone 🔁
↦ C. Pierobon
73′
L. Candellone 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
74′
75′
G. Pereiro 2–1
R. Pucino
85′
🔁 C. Falletti
↦ C. Favasuli
C. Andreoni 🔁
↦ M. Ruggero
87′
M. Meli 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
88′
90′
🟨 Gastón Pereiro
Romano Floriani Mussolini 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Nicola Bellomo
3–1 G. Leone
K. Piscopo
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
10 C. Pierobon M
3 Y. Rocchetti M
11 K. Piscopo F
9 A. Adorante F
37 F. Maistro F
Bench (12)
2 D. Quaranta
55 G. Leone
27 L. Candellone
28 C. Andreoni
14 M. Meli
18 L. Sgarbi
25 A. Gerbo
7 E. Dubickas
13 M. Baldi
1 K. Matošević
98 N. Mosti
45 P. Peda

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Bari

5-3-2
1 B. Radunović G
27 C. Favasuli D
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
3 V. Mantovani D
93 M. Dorval D
21 G. Maggiore M
17 R. Maiello M
28 N. Lella M
11 N. Bonfanti F
99 A. Favilli F
Bench (9)
20 G. Pereiro
15 K. Lasagna
10 N. Bellomo
13 A. Tripaldelli
19 C. Falletti
55 N. Obaretin
94 C. Saco
45 D. Marfella
22 M. Pissardo

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
2,86
B
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.