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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Cittadella

U S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Mantova

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

48%

38%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

20 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 13. · Mantova 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	21	15	4	2	+25	49
2	Pisa	21	13	5	3	+16	44
3	Spezia	21	10	9	2	+16	39
4	Cremonese	21	9	6	6	+8	33
5	Juve Stabia	21	7	9	5	-1	30
6	Cesena	22	8	5	9	+0	29
7	Catanzaro	21	5	13	3	+4	28
8	Bari	21	6	10	5	+4	28
9	Palermo	21	7	6	8	+3	27
10	Carrarese	21	7	6	8	-3	27
11	Modena	21	5	10	6	-1	25
12	Reggiana	21	6	7	8	-2	25
13	Cittadella	21	6	7	8	-12	25
14	Brescia	21	5	9	7	-3	24
15	Mantova	21	5	9	7	-4	24
16	Cosenza	21	4	10	7	-4	22
17	Sampdoria	22	4	9	9	-8	21
18	Frosinone	21	4	8	9	-13	20
19	Sudtirol	21	5	4	12	-14	19
20	Salernitana	21	4	6	11	-11	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	11	8	3	0	+14	27
2	Sassuolo	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	Spezia	10	7	3	0	+14	24
4	Carrarese	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Cesena	11	6	3	2	+6	21
6	Mantova	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Catanzaro	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Bari	11	4	5	2	+3	17
9	Modena	10	4	4	2	+4	16
10	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	-1	15
12	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
13	Reggiana	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	-2	13
15	Cittadella	10	2	6	2	+0	12
16	Salernitana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
17	Cosenza	11	2	6	3	-2	12
18	Frosinone	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Sampdoria	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
3	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Spezia	11	3	6	2	+2	15
5	Juve Stabia	11	3	6	2	+0	15
6	Cittadella	11	4	1	6	-12	13
7	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-1	12
8	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Bari	10	2	5	3	+1	11
10	Catanzaro	10	1	8	1	-1	11
11	Sampdoria	11	2	5	4	-5	11
12	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Brescia	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Sudtirol	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Modena	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Frosinone	10	2	3	5	-8	9
17	Cesena	11	2	2	7	-6	8
18	Mantova	11	0	6	5	-7	6
19	Salernitana	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Carrarese	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.