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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Spezia

T U S S S

2–2

Full-time

Palermo

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

54%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

38%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

38%

46%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

31 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

11 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Palermo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	25	18	4	3	+31	58
2	Pisa	25	15	6	4	+17	51
3	Spezia	24	13	9	2	+23	48
4	Cremonese	24	10	7	7	+9	37
5	Catanzaro	25	7	15	3	+7	36
6	Bari	24	7	12	5	+5	33
7	Juve Stabia	24	8	9	7	-3	33
8	Cittadella	25	8	7	10	-13	31
9	Palermo	24	8	6	10	+2	30
10	Modena	25	6	12	7	+0	30
11	Cesena	24	8	6	10	-2	30
12	Brescia	25	6	11	8	-3	29
13	Reggiana	24	7	7	10	-4	28
14	Sampdoria	25	6	10	9	-6	28
15	Mantova	25	6	10	9	-8	28
16	Carrarese	25	7	6	12	-10	27
17	Cosenza	25	5	10	10	-7	25
18	Salernitana	25	6	7	12	-10	25
19	Sudtirol	24	7	4	13	-11	25
20	Frosinone	25	4	10	11	-17	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Pisa	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Spezia	11	8	3	0	+15	27
4	Cesena	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Catanzaro	13	5	6	2	+7	21
6	Bari	13	5	6	2	+4	21
7	Carrarese	12	6	3	3	+3	21
8	Modena	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Mantova	12	5	4	3	+0	19
10	Palermo	12	5	3	4	+4	18
11	Salernitana	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Juve Stabia	11	5	3	3	+0	18
13	Cremonese	12	4	5	3	+0	17
14	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Sampdoria	13	4	4	5	-1	16
16	Brescia	13	3	6	4	+0	15
17	Cosenza	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Cittadella	12	2	6	4	-3	12
19	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-6	12
20	Frosinone	13	2	6	5	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	13	8	3	2	+11	27
2	Spezia	13	5	6	2	+8	21
3	Pisa	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Cremonese	12	6	2	4	+9	20
5	Cittadella	13	6	1	6	-10	19
6	Catanzaro	12	2	9	1	+0	15
7	Juve Stabia	13	3	6	4	-3	15
8	Brescia	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	Sudtirol	12	4	1	7	-5	13
10	Bari	11	2	6	3	+1	12
11	Palermo	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Reggiana	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Sampdoria	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-5	10
15	Modena	13	1	7	5	-6	10
16	Frosinone	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Mantova	13	1	6	6	-8	9
18	Cesena	12	2	2	8	-8	8
19	Salernitana	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Carrarese	13	1	3	9	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.