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Serie B
Referee: D Massa
Cremonese
S S S U U
2–2
Full-time
Palermo
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 52%
52%
52%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
56%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 2. · Palermo 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 25 16 6 3 +23 54
2 Cremonese 25 13 7 5 +16 46
3 Palermo 25 13 6 6 +16 45
4 Venezia 25 13 6 6 +14 45
5 Como 25 13 6 6 +5 45
6 Catanzaro 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Cittadella 25 10 6 9 -1 36
8 Modena 25 8 10 7 -3 34
9 Brescia 25 8 9 8 +1 33
10 Bari 25 7 12 6 -2 33
11 Sampdoria 26 9 6 11 -6 33
12 Cosenza 26 8 8 10 +1 32
13 Pisa 25 7 9 9 -1 30
14 Reggiana 25 6 12 7 -3 30
15 Sudtirol 25 7 7 11 -4 28
16 Ternana 25 6 7 12 -4 25
17 Spezia 25 5 10 10 -13 25
18 Ascoli 25 5 8 12 -7 23
19 FeralpiSalo 25 5 6 14 -14 21
20 Lecco 25 5 5 15 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -23 Palermo – Cremonese 3–2

Match report

Cremonese Palermo
Michele Castagnetti 🟨
13′
Leonardo Sernicola ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
15′
15′
ℹ️ Ionuț Nedelcearu
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Leonardo Sernicola 🟥
16′
18′
M. Brunori 0–1
22′
🟨 Francesco Di Mariano
45′
F. Ranocchia 0–2
S. Diakité
Half-time 1–2
1–2 M. Castagnetti
C. Pickel
49′
2–2 M. Coda
F. Vázquez
50′
57′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ F. Di Mariano
61′
🟨 Filippo Ranocchia
68′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ F. Ranocchia
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
73′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Coda
74′
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
74′
79′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ C. Gomes
79′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ M. Brunori
79′
🔁 C. Traorè
↦ F. Di Francesco
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
80′
C. Falletti 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
80′
82′
🟨 Giuseppe Aurelio
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
71 D. Johnsen M
17 L. Sernicola M
90 M. Coda F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (12)
18 P. Ghiglione
74 F. Tsadjout
33 G. Quagliata
37 Ž. Majer
7 C. Falletti
21 G. Saro
4 L. Marrone
32 G. Abrego
44 L. Lochoshvili
24 G. Della Rovere
11 F. Afena-Gyan
9 D. Ciofani

Coach: G. Stroppa

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 S. Diakité D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
31 G. Aurelio D
14 F. Ranocchia M
4 C. Gomes M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Di Mariano F
9 M. Brunori F
17 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
11 R. Insigne
27 E. Soleri
80 M. Coulibaly
7 L. Mancuso
70 C. Traorè
15 I. Marconi
20 A. Vasić
25 A. Buttaro
6 L. Štulac
2 S. Graves
13 A. Kanurić
53 L. Henderson

Coach: E. Corini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,55
B
3,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.