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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Cosenza
T T T S T
0–3
Full-time
Palermo
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
35%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 18. · Palermo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Pisa 27 16 7 4 +19 55
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 27 11 8 8 +10 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 27 10 9 8 +0 39
7 Bari 27 8 13 6 +4 37
8 Cesena 27 10 7 10 +0 37
9 Modena 27 7 13 7 +2 34
10 Palermo 26 8 8 10 +2 32
11 Carrarese 27 8 7 12 -9 31
12 Cittadella 27 8 7 12 -16 31
13 Reggiana 27 7 9 11 -5 30
14 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
15 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
16 Mantova 27 6 11 10 -9 29
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 26 5 10 11 -10 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 26 4 11 11 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Palermo
30′
N. Pierozzi 0–1
V. Verre
44′
🟨 Niccolò Pierozzi
Half-time 0–1
Charlys 🟨
52′
54′
ℹ️ Matteo Brunori
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
M. Brunori 0–2
57′
🟨 Matteo Brunori
G. Ricci 🔁
↦ T. DOrazio
58′
M. Ricciardi 🔁
↦ B. Cimino
58′
65′
J. Pohjanpalo 0–3
V. Verre
Alessandro Caporale 🟨
68′
M. Zilli 🔁
↦ G. Artistico
74′
74′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ M. Brunori
74′
🔁 A. Vasić
↦ V. Verre
A. Rizzo Pinna 🔁
↦ Charlys
75′
T. Fumagalli 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
83′
84′
🔁 J. Segre
↦ F. Ranocchia
89′
🔁 F. Di Francesco
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
89′
🔁 A. Buttaro
↦ N. Pierozzi
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-1-4-2
1 A. Micai G
55 A. Hristov D
23 M. Venturi D
17 A. Caporale D
5 M. Gargiulo M
2 B. Cimino M
6 Charlys M
7 L. Garritano M
11 T. D'Orazio M
9 G. Artistico F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
31 G. Ricci
16 M. Ricciardi
21 M. Zilli
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
10 T. Fumagalli
19 R. Ciervo
22 T. Vettorel
28 C. Kouan
4 P. Martino
39 C. Kourfalidis
15 C. Dalle Mura
29 F. Sgarbi

Coach: M. Alvini

Palermo

3-4-2-1
12 E. Audero G
4 R. Baniya D
28 A. Blin D
24 G. Magnani D
27 N. Pierozzi M
6 C. Gomes M
10 F. Ranocchia M
3 K. Lund M
26 V. Verre F
9 M. Brunori F
19 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (8)
21 J. Le Douaron
14 A. Vasić
8 J. Segre
17 F. Di Francesco
25 A. Buttaro
11 R. Insigne
1 S. Desplanches
46 S. Sirigu

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U
2,99
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.