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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Cittadella
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 50%
31%
69%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
52%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
55%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 11. · Sassuolo 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 29 20 6 3 +34 66
2 Pisa 29 16 7 6 +17 55
3 Spezia 29 14 12 3 +23 54
4 Cremonese 30 13 9 8 +15 48
5 Catanzaro 29 9 16 4 +5 43
6 Cesena 29 11 8 10 +2 41
7 Juve Stabia 29 10 10 9 -1 40
8 Palermo 30 10 9 11 +5 39
9 Bari 29 8 15 6 +4 39
10 Modena 29 7 14 8 +1 35
11 Cittadella 29 9 7 13 -19 34
12 Sudtirol 29 9 6 14 -8 33
13 Carrarese 29 8 8 13 -10 32
14 Brescia 29 6 13 10 -6 31
15 Reggiana 29 7 10 12 -6 31
16 Sampdoria 29 6 13 10 -7 31
17 Mantova 29 6 12 11 -10 30
18 Frosinone 29 6 12 11 -15 30
19 Salernitana 29 7 8 14 -12 29
20 Cosenza 29 6 11 12 -12 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Sassuolo
15′
S. Mulattieri 0–1
C. Volpato
22′
🔁 A. Ghion
↦ L. Mazzitelli
Half-time 0–2
46′
D. Berardi 0–2
C. Volpato
51′
🟨 Josh Doig
Alessandro Salvi 🟨
54′
J. Desogus 🔁
↦ S. Rabbi
59′
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ O. Okwonkwo
60′
A. Tessiore 🔁
↦ R. Palmieri
71′
S. Tronchin 🔁
↦ A. Vita
71′
71′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ C. Volpato
72′
🔁 L. Moro
↦ S. Mulattieri
72′
🔁 L. Lipani
↦ N. Pierini
Simone Tronchin 🟨
82′
88′
🔁 T. Muharemović
↦ D. Berardi
1–2 S. Tronchin
90′
Nicola Pavan 🟨
91′
D. Voltan 🔁
↦ A. Salvi
93′
96′
🟨 Luca Moro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-1-1
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
8 F. Amatucci M
37 R. Palmieri M
32 E. Masciangelo M
21 S. Rabbi F
31 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (12)
11 J. Desogus
7 L. Pandolfi
18 A. Tessiore
17 S. Tronchin
20 D. Voltan
35 S. Piccinini
28 A. Rizza
5 F. Casolari
6 E. Matino
13 E. Capradossi
78 L. Maniero
9 D. Diaw

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
19 F. Romagna D
20 M. Lovato D
3 J. Doig D
11 D. Boloca M
36 L. Mazzitelli M
10 D. Berardi M
7 C. Volpato M
77 N. Pierini M
9 S. Mulattieri F
Bench (12)
8 A. Ghion
99 S. Verdi
24 L. Moro
35 L. Lipani
80 T. Muharemović
14 Pedro Obiang
33 K. Bonifazi
40 E. Iannoni
17 Y. Paz
2 F. Missori
26 C. Odenthal
12 G. Satalino

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,31
U
3,36
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.