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Premiership

Referee: G Irvine

Motherwell

T T T S S

2–2

Full-time

St Mirren

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

34%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

72%

69%

Both score Ø 57%

62%

52%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%

5 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Motherwell 6. · St Mirren 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	29	24	3	2	+70	75
2	Rangers	29	18	5	6	+33	59
3	Hibernian	29	11	10	8	+4	43
4	Aberdeen	29	12	6	11	-8	42
5	Dundee United	29	11	8	10	+0	41
6	Motherwell	29	11	4	14	-14	37
7	Hearts	29	10	6	13	+1	36
8	Ross County	29	9	8	12	-18	35
9	St Mirren	29	10	4	15	-12	34
10	Kilmarnock	29	8	7	14	-14	31
11	Dundee	29	7	7	15	-20	28
12	ST Johnstone	29	7	4	18	-22	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	13	1	0	+45	40
2	Rangers	15	12	1	2	+28	37
3	Aberdeen	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Hibernian	15	7	5	3	+7	26
5	Kilmarnock	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Hearts	14	6	3	5	+3	21
7	Dundee United	14	6	3	5	+3	21
8	Motherwell	14	6	3	5	-4	21
9	Ross County	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	St Mirren	15	5	3	7	-3	18
11	Dundee	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	ST Johnstone	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	11	2	2	+25	35
2	Rangers	14	6	4	4	+5	22
3	Dundee United	15	5	5	5	-3	20
4	Hibernian	14	4	5	5	-3	17
5	St Mirren	14	5	1	8	-9	16
6	Motherwell	15	5	1	9	-10	16
7	Hearts	15	4	3	8	-2	15
8	Aberdeen	14	4	3	7	-13	15
9	Ross County	14	4	3	7	-16	15
10	ST Johnstone	15	3	3	9	-13	12
11	Dundee	14	3	3	8	-15	12
12	Kilmarnock	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.