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Serie B
Referee: Kevin Bonacina
Empoli
T T S U S
0–1
Full-time
Sudtirol
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
37%
16%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
32%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,60 xG 0,46
69% Possession 31%
9 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
0 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 8. · Sudtirol 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 19 12 5 2 +20 +4.8 41
2 Venezia 19 11 5 3 +19 +13.4 38
3 Monza 19 11 4 4 +12 +6.5 37
4 Palermo 19 9 7 3 +15 +3.9 34
5 Catanzaro 19 8 7 4 +5 +1.3 31
6 Cesena 19 9 4 6 +4 +3.0 31
7 Modena 19 8 5 6 +9 +5.6 29
8 Empoli 19 7 6 6 +2 +1.3 27
9 Juve Stabia 19 6 9 4 -1 -1.6 27
10 Padova 19 6 7 6 -1 -3.8 25
11 Avellino 19 6 7 6 -8 -7.3 25
12 Carrarese 19 5 8 6 -4 -6.0 23
13 Reggiana 19 5 5 9 -5 -2.2 20
14 Virtus Entella 20 4 8 8 -9 -5.1 20
15 Sudtirol 19 3 10 6 -4 -3.3 19
16 Sampdoria 20 4 6 10 -8 +1.0 18
17 Spezia 19 4 5 10 -9 +0.6 17
18 Bari 19 3 8 8 -13 -5.0 17
19 Mantova 19 4 4 11 -12 -3.8 16
20 Pescara 19 2 8 9 -12 -3.1 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -25 Sudtirol – Empoli 1–2

Match report

Empoli Sudtirol
19′
🟨 Karim Zedadka
24′
E. Pecorino 0–1
D. Casiraghi
45′
🟨 Silvio Merkaj
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Fabian Tait
S. Shpendi 🔁
↦ J. Ceesay
59′
L. Ignacchiti 🔁
↦ N. Haas
59′
63′
🔁 M. R. Frigerio
↦ F. Tait
63′
🔁 D. Crnigoj
↦ D. Casiraghi
64′
🔁 R. Odogwu
↦ E. Pecorino
68′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ S. Merkaj
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ A. Ghion
72′
T. Ebuehi 🔁
↦ S. Elia
72′
74′
🔁 S. Davi
↦ K. Zedadka
B. Popov 🔁
↦ R. Ilie
80′
81′
🟨 Simone Verdi
86′
🟨 Simone Tronchin
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Empoli

3-4-2-1
21 A. Fulignati G
20 M. Lovato D
34 G. Guarino D
5 N. Obaretin D
7 S. Elia M
18 A. Ghion M
32 N. Haas M
27 B. Moruzzi M
10 R. Ilie F
15 J. Ceesay F
19 M. Nasti F
Bench (12)
1 S. Perisan
12 M. Gasparini
2 M. Curto
6 D. Degli Innocenti
11 S. Shpendi
14 G. Yepes
24 T. Ebuehi
25 L. Ignacchiti
29 L. Tosto
77 B. Popov
79 F. Carboni
99 F. Bianchi

Coach: Alessio Dionisi

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
94 H. El Kaouakibi D
28 R. Kofler D
34 F. Veseli D
79 S. Molina M
21 F. Tait M
18 S. Tronchin M
17 D. Casiraghi M
7 K. Zedadka M
33 S. Merkaj F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (12)
1 G. Poluzzi
3 F. Bordon
4 D. Mancini
8 A. Mallamo
19 N. Pietrangeli
23 F. Davi
24 S. Davi
26 M. R. Frigerio
46 D. Brik
89 D. Crnigoj
90 R. Odogwu
99 S. Verdi

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U
3,03
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Bonacina · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.