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Serie B
Referee: Davide Di Marco
Bari
U U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
16%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,32 xG 2,63
57% Possession 43%
6 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 19. · Juve Stabia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 20 12 6 2 +20 +3.3 42
2 Venezia 20 12 5 3 +21 +16.9 41
3 Monza 20 11 5 4 +12 +7.9 38
4 Palermo 19 9 7 3 +15 +3.9 34
5 Cesena 20 10 4 6 +5 +3.4 34
6 Catanzaro 20 8 7 5 +3 -2.2 31
7 Modena 19 8 5 6 +9 +5.6 29
8 Empoli 20 7 6 7 +1 +1.5 27
9 Juve Stabia 19 6 9 4 -1 -1.6 27
10 Carrarese 20 6 8 6 -3 -5.5 26
11 Padova 20 6 7 7 -2 -4.0 25
12 Avellino 20 6 7 7 -9 -7.8 25
13 Sudtirol 20 4 10 6 -3 -3.5 22
14 Reggiana 20 5 5 10 -6 -2.6 20
15 Virtus Entella 20 4 8 8 -9 -5.1 20
16 Mantova 20 5 4 11 -11 -3.6 19
17 Sampdoria 20 4 6 10 -8 +1.0 18
18 Spezia 19 4 5 10 -9 +0.6 17
19 Bari 19 3 8 8 -13 -5.0 17
20 Pescara 19 2 8 9 -12 -3.1 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Juve Stabia
37′
L. Candellone 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Andrea Giorgini
E. Rao 🔁
↦ D. Nikolaou
46′
47′
🟨 Kevin Zeroli
48′
🟨 Kevin Piscopo
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
61′
Matthias Braunöder 🟨
62′
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
62′
68′
🔁 A. Cacciamani
↦ K. Piscopo
68′
🔁 N. Mosti
↦ K. Zeroli
69′
🔁 R. Burnete
↦ F. Maistro
74′
🟨 Lorenzo Carissoni
A. Meroni 🔁
↦ R. Pucino
84′
84′
🔁 M. Baldi
↦ L. Carissoni
L. Cerri 🔁
↦ M. Verreth
86′
89′
🔁 M. Varnier
↦ M. Bellich
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bari

3-4-2-1
31 M. Cerofolini G
51 A. Cistana D
25 R. Pucino D
43 D. Nikolaou D
30 M. Mane
29 M. Verreth M
27 M. Braunoder M
93 M. Dorval M
18 G. Maggiore F
16 M. Antonucci F
9 C. Gytkjaer F
Bench (12)
1 M. Pissardo
12 D. Marfella
3 R. Burgio
13 A. Meroni
15 S. Kassama
37 G. Stabile
8 R. Pagano
32 V. Colangiuli
10 N. Bellomo
17 E. Rao
49 G. De Pieri
99 L. Cerri

Coach: Vincenzo Vivarini

Juve Stabia

5-4-1
1 A. Confente G
24 L. Carissoni D
4 M. Ruggero D
33 A. Giorgini D
6 M. Bellich D
11 K. Piscopo D
8 K. Zeroli M
37 F. Maistro M
55 G. Leone M
29 O. Correia M
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
16 A. Signorini
23 P. Boer
13 M. Varnier
14 C. Dalle Mura
15 M. Baldi
76 M. Mannini
10 C. Pierobon
17 A. Ciammaglichella
77 A. Cacciamani
98 N. Mosti
7 R. Burnete
70 P. Matheu

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U
2,93
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Davide Di Marco · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.