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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Luzern

T T T T S

2–5

Full-time

Lugano

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

26%

53%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

79%

53%

Both score Ø 64%

74%

53%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 9. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	19	13	1	5	+16	+1.2	40
2	St. Gallen	19	12	1	6	+16	+4.2	37
3	Lugano	19	10	3	6	+5	-0.5	33
4	Basel	19	9	5	5	+8	+12.3	32
5	Sion	19	8	6	5	+6	+3.4	30
6	Young Boys	19	8	5	6	+0	+0.6	29
7	Lausanne	19	6	6	7	+1	+4.6	24
8	Zurich	19	7	3	9	-7	+2.2	24
9	Luzern	19	5	6	8	+0	-3.0	21
10	Servette	19	5	5	9	-7	+2.1	20
11	Grasshoppers	19	4	5	10	-9	-12.4	17
12	Winterthur	19	2	4	13	-29	-14.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	10	6	2	2	+8	+1.6	20
2	Thun	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.1	19
3	St. Gallen	10	6	0	4	+9	+6.6	18
4	Young Boys	9	5	2	2	+8	+7.3	17
5	Sion	10	5	2	3	+6	+0.3	17
6	Basel	9	4	3	2	+7	+14.0	15
7	Lausanne	10	4	2	4	+3	+7.5	14
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.9	13
9	Grasshoppers	9	2	3	4	+1	-4.0	9
10	Servette	9	2	3	4	-3	+0.8	9
11	Luzern	9	1	4	4	+1	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	9	7	0	2	+9	+2.3	21
2	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+7	-2.3	19
3	Basel	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.7	17
4	Luzern	10	4	2	4	-1	-5.6	14
5	Sion	9	3	4	2	+0	+3.1	13
6	Lugano	9	4	1	4	-3	-2.1	13
7	Young Boys	10	3	3	4	-8	-6.7	12
8	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.4	11
9	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-4	-1.6	11
10	Lausanne	9	2	4	3	-2	-2.9	10
11	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	-10	-8.3	8
12	Winterthur	10	1	2	7	-21	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.