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LaLiga2

Referee: Miguel Gonzalez Diaz

Almeria

S T T S U

1–2

Full-time

La Coruna

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 46%

48%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 4. · La Coruna 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	21	11	5	5	+14	+0.2	38
2	Las Palmas	21	10	8	3	+13	-0.1	38
3	Castellon	22	11	5	6	+11	+3.0	38
4	Almeria	21	10	6	5	+10	+0.9	36
5	La Coruna	21	9	7	5	+11	+2.7	34
6	Cadiz	21	9	7	5	+2	-0.8	34
7	Sp Gijon	22	10	3	9	-1	+1.2	33
8	Malaga	21	9	5	7	+5	+1.5	32
9	Burgos	21	9	5	7	+5	+2.5	32
10	Cordoba	21	8	8	5	+3	+0.6	32
11	Ceuta	22	9	5	8	-4	-6.3	32
12	Valladolid	22	7	7	8	+1	+3.1	28
13	Leganes	22	6	8	8	+0	+2.0	26
14	Andorra	21	6	7	8	-6	+1.0	25
15	Cultural Leonesa	22	7	4	11	-10	-7.8	25
16	Sociedad B	22	6	6	10	-2	-1.2	24
17	Eibar	21	6	6	9	-3	+0.5	24
18	Albacete	21	6	6	9	-8	+1.3	24
19	Huesca	21	6	5	10	-10	+1.3	23
20	Granada	21	4	10	7	-4	+0.1	22
21	Zaragoza	22	5	6	11	-14	-2.8	21
22	Mirandes	21	4	5	12	-13	-3.2	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	11	7	2	2	+10	+1.5	23
2	Malaga	11	6	4	1	+9	+1.7	22
3	Ceuta	11	7	1	3	+3	-1.2	22
4	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
5	Las Palmas	11	6	3	2	+9	+0.8	21
6	Santander	11	6	2	3	+10	+0.4	20
7	Almeria	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
8	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	+1.3	20
9	Sociedad B	11	5	4	2	+5	-1.5	19
10	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+1	+1.6	18
11	La Coruna	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.4	16
12	Burgos	11	4	4	3	+3	+3.1	16
13	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+0	+0.0	16
14	Cordoba	10	4	3	3	+1	-1.2	15
15	Valladolid	11	3	4	4	+2	+3.8	13
16	Andorra	10	3	4	3	+0	+1.0	13
17	Granada	11	2	6	3	+0	+2.5	12
18	Albacete	10	3	1	6	-8	-0.1	10
19	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	+1.9	9
20	Cultural Leonesa	11	2	3	6	-7	+0.3	9
21	Zaragoza	11	2	3	6	-10	+0.3	9
22	Mirandes	10	2	2	6	-9	-1.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	11	5	3	3	+7	+0.3	18
2	Santander	10	5	3	2	+4	-0.2	18
3	Las Palmas	10	4	5	1	+4	-0.8	17
4	Leganes	12	4	5	3	+2	+0.1	17
5	Cordoba	11	4	5	2	+2	+1.8	17
6	Almeria	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
7	Burgos	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.6	16
8	Cultural Leonesa	11	5	1	5	-3	-8.1	16
9	Castellon	11	4	3	4	+1	+1.5	15
10	Valladolid	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.7	15
11	Sp Gijon	11	5	0	6	-2	-0.3	15
12	Albacete	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.4	14
13	Cadiz	10	3	5	2	-1	-2.1	14
14	Zaragoza	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.1	12
15	Andorra	11	3	3	5	-6	+0.0	12
16	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	-2.4	10
17	Malaga	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.2	10
18	Ceuta	11	2	4	5	-7	-5.1	10
19	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
20	Huesca	10	2	1	7	-10	+1.3	7
21	Sociedad B	11	1	2	8	-7	+0.3	5
22	Eibar	10	0	3	7	-12	-4.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.