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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
U S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Almeria
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 4. · Almeria 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Tenerife 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Almeria 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Ponferradina 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Mirandes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
7 Ibiza 5 1 4 0 +1 7
8 Eibar 5 2 1 2 -1 7
9 Valladolid 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Huesca 4 2 0 2 +2 6
11 Las Palmas 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Cartagena 5 2 0 3 -4 6
13 Burgos 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Fuenlabrada 4 1 2 1 +1 5
15 Malaga 4 1 2 1 -1 5
16 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
18 Girona 4 1 1 2 +0 4
19 Zaragoza 4 1 1 2 -2 4
20 Lugo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
21 Alcorcon 5 1 0 4 -3 3
22 Leganes 5 0 2 3 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,12
U
3,32
B
2,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.