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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Montpellier

S T U S T

2–0

Full-time

St Etienne

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 11. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Angers	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Nice	3	2	1	0	+8	7
7	Lens	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Rennes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Lille	5	1	2	2	-4	5
11	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Monaco	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Metz	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	St Etienne	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Reims	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Lens	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
6	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lille	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Lorient	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.