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Ekstraklasa
Rakow
S S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 14. · Lech Poznan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 6 4 2 0 +8 14
2 Slask Wroclaw 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Wisla 7 3 2 2 +4 11
4 Pogon Szczecin 6 3 2 1 +4 11
5 Lechia Gdansk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
6 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Jagiellonia 7 2 3 2 +1 9
8 Zaglebie 6 3 0 3 -4 9
9 Radomiak Radom 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Stal Mielec 7 2 2 3 -3 8
11 Cracovia 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Wisla Plock 6 2 1 3 +2 7
13 Warta Poznan 7 1 4 2 +1 7
14 Rakow 4 2 1 1 -1 7
15 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Legia 5 2 0 3 -1 6
17 Nieciecza 6 0 3 3 -4 3
18 Leczna 6 0 2 4 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.