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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Milan

S U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Lazio

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

0,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,5

Scored

2,5

4,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 6. · Lazio 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Roma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Torino	3	1	0	2	+2	3
12	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Genoa	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.