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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Cagliari

U U T U T

2–3

Full-time

Genoa

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 15. · Genoa 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.