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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Sturm Graz

S S S U U

2–1

Full-time

A. Klagenfurt

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%

25 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · A. Klagenfurt 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Sturm Graz	6	3	2	1	+5	11
3	Ried	7	3	2	2	-6	11
4	SK Rapid	7	2	2	3	+2	8
5	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
6	Admira	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Altach	7	2	2	3	-2	8
8	Wolfsberger AC	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	2	2	-4	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	1	4	2	+0	7
11	LASK	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Tirol	7	0	5	2	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Ried	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	A. Klagenfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Admira	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Altach	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Austria Vienna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Tirol	4	0	3	1	-2	3
11	LASK	4	0	2	2	-4	2
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Hartberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
5	LASK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Altach	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Admira	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	SK Rapid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Ried	4	0	2	2	-9	2
12	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.