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LaLiga2

Referee: Rubén Ávalos

Burgos

T S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Ferrol

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Ferrol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 42%

40%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

48%

36%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

8 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 12. · Ferrol 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	26	13	8	5	+20	47
2	Eibar	26	13	6	7	+12	45
3	Sp Gijon	26	11	9	6	+9	42
4	Ferrol	25	11	9	5	+5	42
5	Espanol	26	11	8	7	+9	41
6	Valladolid	25	12	4	9	+3	40
7	Elche	26	11	7	8	+2	40
8	Santander	26	11	6	9	+4	39
9	Oviedo	26	9	11	6	+9	38
10	Levante	26	9	11	6	+1	38
11	Zaragoza	26	9	9	8	+4	36
12	Burgos	25	10	6	9	+0	36
13	Eldense	26	8	11	7	-2	35
14	Mirandes	26	8	9	9	+2	33
15	Tenerife	26	9	6	11	-2	33
16	Huesca	26	6	10	10	-2	28
17	Cartagena	26	7	7	12	-10	28
18	Villarreal B	26	7	7	12	-13	28
19	Alcorcon	26	7	7	12	-13	28
20	Albacete	25	6	8	11	-9	26
21	Andorra	26	6	6	14	-13	24
22	Amorebieta	26	4	7	15	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	13	8	4	1	+15	28
2	Espanol	13	8	4	1	+13	28
3	Burgos	12	8	4	0	+12	28
4	Leganes	13	7	5	1	+14	26
5	Santander	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Valladolid	12	8	2	2	+11	26
7	Sp Gijon	13	7	5	1	+11	26
8	Oviedo	13	7	5	1	+10	26
9	Elche	13	7	4	2	+8	25
10	Ferrol	13	6	6	1	+6	24
11	Levante	13	6	5	2	+2	23
12	Villarreal B	13	6	4	3	+2	22
13	Mirandes	13	6	3	4	+6	21
14	Zaragoza	13	6	3	4	+5	21
15	Tenerife	13	6	3	4	+4	21
16	Albacete	13	5	5	3	+3	20
17	Eldense	13	4	6	3	+0	18
18	Andorra	12	5	2	5	+1	17
19	Amorebieta	14	4	4	6	+1	16
20	Alcorcon	13	3	5	5	-5	14
21	Huesca	13	3	4	6	-2	13
22	Cartagena	13	4	1	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	13	6	3	4	+6	21
2	Ferrol	12	5	3	4	-1	18
3	Eldense	13	4	5	4	-2	17
4	Eibar	13	5	2	6	-3	17
5	Sp Gijon	13	4	4	5	-2	16
6	Huesca	13	3	6	4	+0	15
7	Levante	13	3	6	4	-1	15
8	Zaragoza	13	3	6	4	-1	15
9	Cartagena	13	3	6	4	-2	15
10	Elche	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Alcorcon	13	4	2	7	-8	14
12	Valladolid	13	4	2	7	-8	14
13	Espanol	13	3	4	6	-4	13
14	Santander	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Oviedo	13	2	6	5	-1	12
16	Mirandes	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Tenerife	13	3	3	7	-6	12
18	Burgos	13	2	2	9	-12	8
19	Andorra	14	1	4	9	-14	7
20	Albacete	12	1	3	8	-12	6
21	Villarreal B	13	1	3	9	-15	6
22	Amorebieta	12	0	3	9	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.