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Süper Lig

Referee: Ç Altay

Fenerbahce

S U S S S

2–2

Full-time

Alanyaspor

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 54%

83%

25%

Points per game

2,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

2,6

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,47 xG 0,67

64% Possession 36%

25 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 0

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Alanyaspor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	21	3	1	+38	+32.9	66
2	Fenerbahce	24	20	3	1	+45	+43.4	63
3	Besiktas	24	12	3	9	+4	+8.8	39
4	Kasimpasa	25	11	5	9	-1	-6.9	38
5	Trabzonspor	24	11	4	9	+5	-1.5	37
6	Rizespor	25	10	6	9	-7	-3.9	36
7	Antalyaspor	24	8	10	6	+4	+2.7	34
8	Buyuksehyr	25	9	6	10	+1	-1.8	33
9	Sivasspor	25	8	9	8	-6	-5.7	33
10	Ad. Demirspor	25	7	10	8	+4	-1.5	31
11	Kayserispor	24	8	7	9	-5	-7.0	31
12	Ankaragücü	25	6	11	8	+1	-3.0	29
13	Hatayspor	24	6	10	8	-1	-0.4	28
14	Karagumruk	25	7	6	12	+1	-9.1	27
15	Gaziantep	25	7	6	12	-7	-9.6	27
16	Alanyaspor	24	6	9	9	-8	+2.6	27
17	Samsunspor	24	7	5	12	-8	+1.8	26
18	Pendikspor	25	6	8	11	-18	-9.2	26
19	Konyaspor	25	5	10	10	-13	-12.5	25
20	İstanbulspor	25	3	5	17	-29	-20.1	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	13	0	0	+23	+23.5	39
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+23	+23.0	29
3	Rizespor	13	8	3	2	+7	+5.0	27
4	Ad. Demirspor	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
5	Besiktas	12	7	2	3	+7	+5.2	23
6	Karagumruk	13	6	4	3	+12	-0.1	22
7	Antalyaspor	13	5	6	2	+2	+1.0	21
8	Buyuksehyr	12	6	2	4	+6	-0.5	20
9	Samsunspor	12	6	2	4	+3	+3.3	20
10	Kasimpasa	12	6	2	4	+0	-3.3	20
11	Kayserispor	12	5	4	3	+4	+1.5	19
12	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+1	+1.0	19
13	Hatayspor	12	4	6	2	+4	-0.6	18
14	Ankaragücü	13	4	6	3	+3	+3.4	18
15	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
16	Sivasspor	12	3	7	2	+0	+1.3	16
17	Konyaspor	12	4	3	5	+1	-0.5	15
18	Pendikspor	12	4	3	5	-6	-6.1	15
19	Gaziantep	12	3	4	5	-4	-5.9	13
20	İstanbulspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	11	1	0	+22	+20.3	34
2	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+15	+9.4	27
3	Trabzonspor	13	5	3	5	+4	-2.4	18
4	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.6	18
5	Sivasspor	13	5	2	6	-6	-7.0	17
6	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-3	+3.6	16
7	Gaziantep	13	4	2	7	-3	-3.7	14
8	Antalyaspor	11	3	4	4	+2	+1.7	13
9	Buyuksehyr	13	3	4	6	-5	-1.3	13
10	Kayserispor	12	3	3	6	-9	-8.5	12
11	Ankaragücü	12	2	5	5	-2	-6.4	11
12	Pendikspor	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.1	11
13	Hatayspor	12	2	4	6	-5	+0.1	10
14	Alanyaspor	12	2	4	6	-9	-1.4	10
15	Konyaspor	13	1	7	5	-14	-12.0	10
16	Rizespor	12	2	3	7	-14	-8.9	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	12	0	7	5	-7	-6.4	7
18	Samsunspor	12	1	3	8	-11	-1.5	6
19	Karagumruk	12	1	2	9	-11	-9.0	5
20	İstanbulspor	12	1	2	9	-15	-9.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.