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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Getafe
T T S T U
3–2
Full-time
Celta
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
30%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
43%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,15 xG 1,19
48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 10. · Celta 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 24 19 4 1 +37 +23.3 61
2 Girona 24 17 5 2 +23 +6.7 56
3 Barcelona 23 15 5 3 +17 +26.9 50
4 Ath Madrid 23 15 3 5 +20 +12.8 48
5 Ath Bilbao 23 13 6 4 +21 +17.2 45
6 Betis 24 9 11 4 +3 -2.5 38
7 Sociedad 24 9 10 5 +10 +3.0 37
8 Las Palmas 24 10 5 9 +5 -13.0 35
9 Valencia 24 10 5 9 +0 -2.6 35
10 Getafe 23 7 9 7 -2 -5.9 30
11 Osasuna 24 8 5 11 -9 -5.8 29
12 Alaves 24 7 6 11 -7 +3.5 27
13 Villarreal 24 6 7 11 -12 -5.3 25
14 Vallecano 23 5 9 9 -10 -2.8 24
15 Sevilla 23 4 8 11 -8 -10.3 20
16 Celta 23 4 8 11 -8 -3.0 20
17 Mallorca 23 3 11 9 -11 -4.8 20
18 Cadiz 24 2 11 11 -18 -15.4 17
19 Granada 23 2 6 15 -22 -12.9 12
20 Almeria 23 0 6 17 -29 -9.2 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Celta
Mason Greenwood ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
38′
1–0 Borja Mayoral
41′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Jaime Mata
47′
50′
🟨 Renato Tapia
55′
🔁 Iago Aspas
↦ Jailson
55′
🔁 Tadeo Allende
↦ Óscar Mingueza
Mason Greenwood 🟨
62′
71′
Jørgen Strand Larsen 2–1
Javier Manquillo
Carles Aleñá 🔁
↦ Jordi Martín
75′
80′
🔁 Anastasios Douvikas
↦ Jørgen Strand Larsen
80′
🔁 Hugo Sotelo
↦ Renato Tapia
82′
🟨 Mihailo Ristić
85′
Tadeo Allende 2–2
Iago Aspas
86′
🔁 Kevin Vázquez
↦ Javier Manquillo
Ilaix Moriba 🔁
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
87′
José Ángel Carmona 🔁
↦ Juan Iglesias
87′
3–2 Jaime Mata
Mason Greenwood
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
21 Juan Iglesias D
2 Djené D
15 Omar Alderete D
16 Diego Rico D
12 Mason Greenwood M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
5 Luis Milla M
32 Jordi Martín M
19 Borja Mayoral F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (9)
11 Carles Aleñá
24 Ilaix Moriba
18 José Ángel Carmona
1 Daniel Fuzato
6 Domingos Duarte
33 Alejandro Herranz
25 Yellu Santiago
9 Óscar Rodríguez
14 Juanmi Latasa

Coach: José Bordalás

Celta

3-4-3
25 Vicente Guaita G
5 Renato Tapia D
4 Unai Núñez D
28 Carlos Domínguez D
22 Javier Manquillo M
16 Jailson M
8 Fran Beltrán M
21 Mihailo Ristić M
3 Óscar Mingueza F
18 Jørgen Strand Larsen F
14 Luca De La Torre F
Bench (12)
9 Tadeo Allende
10 Iago Aspas
30 Hugo Sotelo
12 Anastasios Douvikas
20 Kevin Vázquez
13 Iván Villar
26 Coke Carrillo
2 Carl Starfelt
23 Manuel Sánchez
11 Franco Cervi
7 Carles Pérez
24 Miguel Rodríguez

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,14
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,54
U2,5
1,53
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.