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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
RWD Molenbeek
T T T T U
0–4
Full-time
Antwerp
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
3,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 19/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
21%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
74%
47%
Both score Ø 54%
68%
40%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,27 xG 3,37
33% Possession 67%
2 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 12. · Antwerp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +22 +17.8 41
2 Club Brugge 18 11 4 3 +31 +31.9 37
3 Cercle Brugge 15 11 1 3 +16 +13.5 34
4 Anderlecht 15 9 5 1 +14 +10.2 32
5 Antwerp 15 7 6 2 +21 +14.4 27
6 Genk 14 6 5 3 +16 +18.5 23
7 Gent 14 6 5 3 +6 +6.1 23
8 Mechelen 16 6 4 6 +0 -1.9 22
9 Westerlo 18 5 5 8 -5 -7.3 20
10 Standard 17 4 7 6 -7 -9.1 19
11 St Truiden 16 4 6 6 -10 -6.3 18
12 RWD Molenbeek 19 4 5 10 -22 -23.5 17
13 Charleroi 18 3 5 10 -15 -11.7 14
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 3 4 9 -10 -5.3 13
15 Kortrijk 20 3 4 13 -29 -20.7 13
16 Eupen 19 3 2 14 -28 -26.5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RWD Molenbeek Antwerp
15′
T. Alderweireld 0–1
36′
V. Janssen 0–2
C. Ejuke
Philipe Sampaio 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–3
46′
J. Ondrejka 0–3
V. Janssen
Abner 🔁
↦ T. Adaramola
46′
S. Abe 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
46′
M. Sissako 🔁
↦ David Sousa
46′
I. Camara 🔁
↦ Carlos Alberto
46′
62′
ℹ️ Vincent Janssen
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
T. Alderweireld 0–4
Philipe Sampaio 🟨
66′
Philipe Sampaio 🟥
66′
68′
🔁 K. Corbanie
↦ J. Bataille
68′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ M. Doumbia
68′
🔁 G. Kerk
↦ J. Ondrejka
Makhtar Gueye 🟨
71′
F. Soelle Soelle 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
76′
81′
🔁 M. Smits
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
81′
🔁 V. Udoh
↦ C. Ejuke
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

RWD Molenbeek

4-1-4-1
33 T. Defourny G
21 M. Sambu D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
43 David Sousa D
11 T. Adaramola D
29 M. Sarr M
89 Carlos Alberto M
30 X. Mercier M
6 P. Dwomoh M
7 M. Biron M
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (9)
26 Abner
8 S. Abe
44 M. Sissako
17 I. Camara
22 F. Soelle Soelle
5 A. De Sart
10 M. Ebiowei
28 G. Hubert
47 P. Mboup

Coach: Cláudio Caçapa

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
23 T. Alderweireld D
5 O. Wijndal D
27 M. Keita M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
19 C. Ejuke M
84 M. Doumbia M
17 J. Ondrejka M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (8)
52 K. Corbanie
9 G. Ilenikhena
7 G. Kerk
46 M. Smits
60 V. Udoh
87 D. Verhulst
91 S. Lammens
56 E. Tuypens

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,11
U
4,13
B ✓
1,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.