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Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Ein Frankfurt
T U S S T
0–0
Full-time
Union Berlin
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
65%
35%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,06 xG 1,47
65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 6. · Union Berlin 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 26 22 4 0 +48 +30.0 70
2 Bayern Munich 26 19 3 4 +47 +49.4 60
3 Stuttgart 26 18 2 6 +29 +29.5 56
4 Dortmund 26 14 8 4 +21 +10.7 50
5 RB Leipzig 26 15 4 7 +28 +21.9 49
6 Ein Frankfurt 26 10 10 6 +7 -4.0 40
7 Augsburg 26 9 8 9 +1 -4.5 35
8 Hoffenheim 26 9 6 11 -6 -6.9 33
9 Freiburg 26 9 6 11 -12 -1.9 33
10 Werder Bremen 26 8 6 12 -6 -6.2 30
11 Heidenheim 26 7 8 11 -9 -18.7 29
12 M'gladbach 26 6 10 10 -4 -4.7 28
13 Union Berlin 26 8 4 14 -17 -8.1 28
14 Wolfsburg 26 6 7 13 -13 -4.2 25
15 Bochum 26 5 10 11 -24 -19.3 25
16 Mainz 26 3 10 13 -24 -4.3 19
17 FC Koln 26 3 9 14 -27 -27.7 18
18 Darmstadt 26 2 7 17 -39 -31.1 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin
Hugo Ekitiké 🟨
24′
Niels Nkounkou 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
P. Max 🔁
↦ N. Nkounkou
46′
61′
🟨 Diogo Leite
65′
🔁 K. Volland
↦ Y. Vertessen
65′
🔁 B. Hollerbach
↦ M. Kaufmann
65′
🔁 A. Laïdouni
↦ B. Aaronson
F. Chaïbi 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
71′
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
79′
82′
🔁 J. Juranović
↦ C. Trimmel
89′
🔁 J. Roussillon
↦ R. Gosens
Willian Pacho 🟨
90′
T. Chandler 🔁
↦ J. Dina Ebimbe
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
4 R. Koch D
3 W. Pacho D
26 J. Dina Ebimbe M
15 E. Skhiri M
27 M. Götze M
29 N. Nkounkou M
7 Omar Marmoush F
36 A. Knauff F
11 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
31 P. Max
8 F. Chaïbi
19 J. Bahoya
22 T. Chandler
33 J. Grahl
25 D. van de Beek
34 N. Collins
5 H. Smolčić
20 M. Hasebe

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Union Berlin

3-4-2-1
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
2 K. Vogt D
4 Diogo Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
29 L. Tousart M
8 R. Khedira M
6 R. Gosens M
14 Y. Vertessen F
7 B. Aaronson F
9 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (9)
10 K. Volland
16 B. Hollerbach
20 A. Laïdouni
18 J. Juranović
26 J. Roussillon
33 A. Král
31 R. Knoche
37 A. Schwolow
11 C. Bedia

Coach: N. Bjelica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
3,44
B
3,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.