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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

S U U T T

2–3

Full-time

Mechelen

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

15%

45%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

65%

35%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,74 xG 2,78

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15. · Mechelen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	20	16	3	1	+27	+22.6	51
2	Anderlecht	20	13	5	2	+22	+14.3	44
3	Cercle Brugge	20	14	2	4	+22	+13.0	44
4	Club Brugge	20	12	4	4	+32	+33.1	40
5	Antwerp	20	10	7	3	+28	+20.4	37
6	Genk	19	9	7	3	+20	+23.9	34
7	Gent	20	9	7	4	+16	+11.0	34
8	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.3	32
9	Standard	21	5	7	9	-9	-11.7	22
10	Westerlo	20	5	6	9	-6	-6.9	21
11	St Truiden	20	5	6	9	-16	-11.1	21
12	Charleroi	24	4	7	13	-22	-14.9	19
13	RWD Molenbeek	24	4	6	14	-35	-32.8	18
14	Kortrijk	24	4	4	16	-34	-24.0	16
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	3	6	11	-14	-7.1	15
16	Eupen	24	4	2	18	-36	-29.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+16	+12.4	26
2	Cercle Brugge	10	8	1	1	+17	+10.5	25
3	Anderlecht	10	8	1	1	+13	+10.2	25
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+21	+18.2	24
5	Gent	11	6	4	1	+15	+10.2	22
6	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
7	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
8	Genk	9	5	3	1	+12	+16.1	18
9	St Truiden	10	4	3	3	-3	-1.6	15
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.6	14
11	Westerlo	10	4	1	5	-1	-2.0	13
12	Charleroi	12	3	4	5	-6	-0.5	13
13	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-12	-11.6	13
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	3	4	+2	-2.7	12
15	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-13	-11.2	10
16	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+11	+10.2	25
2	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.1	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	+2.5	19
4	Club Brugge	10	5	1	4	+11	+14.9	16
5	Genk	10	4	4	2	+8	+7.8	16
6	Antwerp	10	4	4	2	+7	+3.8	16
7	Mechelen	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.2	13
8	Gent	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.8	12
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	11	1	5	5	-12	-11.2	8
11	Kortrijk	12	2	1	9	-23	-17.0	7
12	St Truiden	10	1	3	6	-13	-9.5	6
13	Charleroi	12	1	3	8	-16	-14.4	6
14	RWD Molenbeek	12	1	2	9	-23	-21.3	5
15	Eupen	12	1	1	10	-23	-18.2	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-16	-4.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.