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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Burgos
T S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
48%
37%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 11. · Sp Gijon 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 28 14 8 6 +22 50
2 Espanol 28 13 8 7 +13 47
3 Eibar 28 13 7 8 +11 46
4 Valladolid 28 13 6 9 +6 45
5 Sp Gijon 27 11 10 6 +9 43
6 Ferrol 28 11 10 7 +1 43
7 Santander 28 12 6 10 +3 42
8 Oviedo 28 10 11 7 +11 41
9 Elche 27 11 8 8 +2 41
10 Levante 27 9 12 6 +1 39
11 Burgos 27 11 6 10 -3 39
12 Eldense 28 9 11 8 -1 38
13 Zaragoza 28 9 10 9 +3 37
14 Tenerife 27 10 6 11 -1 36
15 Mirandes 27 8 9 10 -1 33
16 Cartagena 27 8 7 12 -9 31
17 Albacete 27 7 9 11 -7 30
18 Villarreal B 28 7 9 12 -13 30
19 Huesca 27 6 11 10 -2 29
20 Alcorcon 27 7 7 13 -16 28
21 Andorra 27 6 7 14 -13 25
22 Amorebieta 27 4 8 15 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Sp Gijon
25′
🟨 Ignacio Méndez
1–0 Dani Ojeda
Álex Sancris
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Roque Mesa
↦ J. Varane
46′
🔁 J. Otero
↦ Mario González
55′
🟨 Juan Otero
Miguel Atienza 🟨
57′
58′
🔁 Cote
↦ Pablo García
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
63′
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
65′
Grego Sierra 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
65′
Anderson Arroyo 🟨
72′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
72′
Matos 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ Gaspar Campos
76′
🔁 U. Đurđević
↦ Rober Pier
Curro 🟨
81′
Joni Montiel 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
81′
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
82′
Joni Montiel 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
12 K. Appin M
7 Dani Ojeda M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (8)
10 Álex Bermejo
20 Grego Sierra
19 Edu Espiau
21 Joni Montiel
8 Ander Martín
1 L. Badiashile
2 Borja González
22 Miki Muñoz

Coach: Bolo

Sp Gijon

3-4-3
13 C. Sánchez G
22 Rober Pier D
4 Pablo Insua D
16 Diego Sánchez D
2 Guille Rosas M
12 J. Varane M
10 Nacho Méndez M
5 Pablo García M
8 Fran Villalba F
20 Mario González F
7 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (11)
15 Roque Mesa
19 J. Otero
3 Cote
21 H. Hassan
23 U. Đurđević
37 Cristian Acerete
25 A. Pașcanu
26 F. Bloch
9 Dani Queipo
14 A. Bamba
6 Nacho Martín

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,01
B
3,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.