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LaLiga2
Referee: A Morilla
Eibar
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Almeria
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
50%
73%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 17. · Almeria 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 22 12 5 5 +17 +0.5 41
2 Castellon 22 11 5 6 +11 +3.0 38
3 Malaga 23 11 5 7 +9 +1.1 38
4 Las Palmas 23 10 8 5 +9 -0.4 38
5 La Coruna 22 10 7 5 +12 +2.7 37
6 Almeria 22 10 6 6 +9 +0.9 36
7 Sp Gijon 23 11 3 9 +2 +1.9 36
8 Cordoba 23 9 8 6 +3 +1.0 35
9 Burgos 23 10 5 8 +3 +3.1 35
10 Cadiz 23 9 7 7 +0 -1.0 34
11 Ceuta 22 9 5 8 -4 -6.3 32
12 Albacete 23 8 6 9 -6 +2.3 30
13 Leganes 23 7 8 8 +2 +5.1 29
14 Andorra 23 7 8 8 -5 +1.2 29
15 Valladolid 23 7 7 9 +0 +2.4 28
16 Granada 23 5 11 7 -3 +0.1 26
17 Eibar 22 6 7 9 -3 +0.5 25
18 Cultural Leonesa 22 7 4 11 -10 -7.8 25
19 Sociedad B 23 6 6 11 -4 -4.3 24
20 Huesca 23 6 6 11 -11 +0.4 24
21 Zaragoza 22 5 6 11 -14 -2.8 21
22 Mirandes 23 4 5 14 -17 -3.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Almeria
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 J. Morcillo
↦ A. Embarba
66′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ S. Dzodic
66′
🔁 P. Soko
↦ M. de la Fuente
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 🔁
↦ A. Madariaga
69′
72′
🟨 Gui
J. Bautista 🔁
↦ Javier Marton
77′
77′
🔁 N. Melamed
↦ Leo Baptistao
Jon Guruzeta 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ S. Arribas
X. Alkain 🔁
↦ J. Guruzeta
87′
1–0 L. Olaetxea
P. Nolaskoain
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
2 S. Cubero D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
21 M. Moreno D
3 H. Arrillaga D
6 S. Alvarez M
14 L. Olaetxea M
17 J. Corpas M
16 A. Madariaga M
10 J. Guruzeta M
20 Javier Marton F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lopez
4 A. Arambarri
5 J. Martinez
7 X. Alkain
9 J. Bautista
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
15 Jair
18 A. Ares
19 T. Villa
24 L. Buta
27 H. Garcia
30 A. Garrido

Coach: Benat San Jose

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
8 Gui Guedes M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
2 A. Puigmal
6 A. Horta
7 J. Morcillo
9 Thalys
10 N. Melamed
14 I. Baba
15 A. Hernandez
19 P. Soko
36 M. Perovic
20 A. Centelles

Coach: Joan Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
3,12
B
3,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Morilla · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.