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LaLiga2

Referee: A Ojaos

Almeria

T S U T T

4–2

Full-time

Ceuta

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Ceuta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

70%

52%

Both score Ø 61%

70%

52%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 8. · Ceuta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	23	13	5	5	+18	+0.5	44
2	La Coruna	24	11	7	6	+12	+2.7	40
3	Castellon	23	11	6	6	+11	+3.0	39
4	Las Palmas	24	10	9	5	+9	-0.4	39
5	Malaga	23	11	5	7	+9	+1.1	38
6	Cordoba	24	10	8	6	+5	+1.0	38
7	Burgos	24	11	5	8	+4	+3.1	38
8	Almeria	23	10	6	7	+8	+0.9	36
9	Sp Gijon	23	11	3	9	+2	+1.9	36
10	Ceuta	23	10	5	8	-2	-5.1	35
11	Cadiz	23	9	7	7	+0	-1.0	34
12	Albacete	24	9	6	9	-4	+2.3	33
13	Leganes	24	7	8	9	+1	+5.1	29
14	Andorra	23	7	8	8	-5	+1.2	29
15	Valladolid	24	7	7	10	-2	+2.4	28
16	Eibar	23	7	7	9	-2	+0.5	28
17	Granada	23	5	11	7	-3	+0.1	26
18	Sociedad B	24	6	7	11	-4	-4.3	25
19	Cultural Leonesa	24	7	4	13	-13	-9.0	25
20	Huesca	23	6	6	11	-11	+0.4	24
21	Zaragoza	24	5	7	12	-16	-2.8	22
22	Mirandes	23	4	5	14	-17	-3.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malaga	12	7	4	1	+12	+1.7	25
2	Ceuta	12	8	1	3	+5	+0.0	25
3	Eibar	12	7	3	2	+10	+4.4	24
4	Santander	12	7	2	3	+13	+0.7	23
5	Castellon	11	7	2	2	+10	+1.5	23
6	Burgos	13	6	4	3	+5	+3.6	22
7	Las Palmas	12	6	3	3	+8	+0.8	21
8	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	+4	+2.2	21
9	Almeria	11	6	2	3	+7	+2.5	20
10	Sociedad B	12	5	5	2	+5	-1.5	20
11	Cadiz	12	6	2	4	+2	+1.3	20
12	Cordoba	12	5	3	4	+2	-0.8	18
13	La Coruna	11	4	4	3	+3	+2.4	16
14	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+0	+0.0	16
15	Albacete	12	5	1	6	-5	+0.1	16
16	Andorra	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.3	14
17	Valladolid	12	3	4	5	+1	+3.1	13
18	Granada	12	2	7	3	+0	+2.5	13
19	Leganes	11	3	3	5	+0	+5.0	12
20	Zaragoza	12	2	4	6	-10	+0.3	10
21	Cultural Leonesa	12	2	3	7	-8	+0.3	9
22	Mirandes	11	2	2	7	-10	-1.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	13	7	3	3	+9	+0.3	24
2	Santander	11	6	3	2	+5	-0.2	21
3	Cordoba	12	5	5	2	+3	+1.8	20
4	Las Palmas	12	4	6	2	+1	-1.1	18
5	Albacete	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.2	17
6	Leganes	13	4	5	4	+1	+0.1	17
7	Almeria	12	4	4	4	+1	-1.6	16
8	Castellon	12	4	4	4	+1	+1.5	16
9	Burgos	11	5	1	5	-1	-0.6	16
10	Cultural Leonesa	12	5	1	6	-5	-9.3	16
11	Sp Gijon	11	5	0	6	-2	-0.3	15
12	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	-3	-0.7	15
13	Andorra	12	4	3	5	-5	-0.2	15
14	Cadiz	11	3	5	3	-2	-2.3	14
15	Granada	11	3	4	4	-3	-2.4	13
16	Malaga	11	4	1	6	-3	-0.6	13
17	Zaragoza	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.1	12
18	Ceuta	11	2	4	5	-7	-5.1	10
19	Mirandes	12	2	3	7	-7	-2.3	9
20	Huesca	12	2	2	8	-11	+0.4	8
21	Sociedad B	12	1	2	9	-9	-2.8	5
22	Eibar	11	0	4	7	-12	-4.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.