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Superligaen
Referee: Mikkel Redder
Aarhus
S T T S U
2–2
Full-time
Brondby
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Superligaen · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 9. · Brondby 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 14 8 4 2 +10 28
2 Randers FC 14 6 5 3 +3 23
3 Viborg 13 6 4 3 +4 22
4 Silkeborg 14 6 3 5 +4 21
5 Midtjylland 14 5 6 3 +3 21
6 Odense 14 5 4 5 -3 19
7 FC Copenhagen 14 5 3 6 +1 18
8 Horsens 14 5 3 6 -2 18
9 Aarhus 13 5 2 6 +2 17
10 Brondby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
11 Aalborg 13 3 5 5 -3 14
12 Lyngby 14 0 5 9 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Brondby
1–0 J. Duin
Y. Aurel Bisseck
15′
35′
🟨 Josip Radošević
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 J. Gammelby
↦ J. Radošević
61′
O. Omoijuanfo 1–1
N. Vallys
70′
ℹ️ Daniel Wass
VAR: Goal cancelled
71′
🟨 Ohi Omoijuanfo
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ J. Duin
71′
2–1 P. Mortensen
Kevin Yakob
79′
80′
🔁 C. Cappis
↦ A. Ben Slimane
G. Links 🔁
↦ E. Kahl
81′
B. Hvidt 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
81′
S. Grønning 🔁
↦ Kevin Yakob
81′
84′
🟨 Andreas Maxsø
85′
C. Cappis 2–2
A. D'Alberto 🔁
↦ S. Hausner
89′
89′
🔁 M. Kvistgaarden
↦ S. Hedlund
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
37 S. Hausner D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
29 F. Brandhof M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
17 Kevin Yakob M
19 E. Kahl M
9 P. Mortensen F
18 J. Duin F
Bench (9)
10 S. Haugen
11 G. Links
22 B. Hvidt
27 S. Grønning
26 A. D'Alberto
28 A. Daghim
46 A. Beck
13 A. Munksgaard
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit

Coach: U. Rösler

Brondby

4-3-3
1 M. Hermansen G
10 D. Wass D
5 A. Maxsø D
18 K. Tshiembe D
15 B. Riveros D
8 M. Greve M
22 J. Radošević M
25 A. Ben Slimane M
27 S. Hedlund F
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
7 N. Vallys F
Bench (9)
28 J. Gammelby
23 C. Cappis
36 M. Kvistgaarden
6 J. Bell
16 T. Mikkelsen
41 O. Schwartau
12 C. Björk
32 F. Alves
24 M. Divković

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mikkel Redder · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.