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Superligaen
Referee: Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Nordsjaelland
S S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Aarhus
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
42%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
42%
27%
Both score Ø 54%
65%
42%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 2. · Aarhus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 27 15 4 8 +23 49
2 Nordsjaelland 26 13 8 5 +17 47
3 Viborg 27 13 7 7 +11 46
4 Aarhus 26 11 7 8 +6 40
5 Randers FC 27 10 10 7 +1 40
6 Midtjylland 26 9 11 6 +8 38
7 Brondby 27 10 6 11 -8 36
8 Odense 27 9 9 9 -10 36
9 Silkeborg 26 8 7 11 -4 31
10 Horsens 27 7 6 14 -17 27
11 Aalborg 27 5 8 14 -11 23
12 Lyngby 27 4 9 14 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Aarhus
19′
M. Anderson 0–1
M. Duelund
Half-time 0–1
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ M. Hansen
46′
49′
🟨 Mikkel Duelund
I. Osman 🔁
↦ L. Coulibaly
57′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ R. Ascone
57′
67′
🔁 N. Poulsen
↦ M. Duelund
68′
🟨 Kevin Yakob
W. Faghir 🔁
↦ M. Diomandé
75′
79′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ E. Kahl
79′
🔁 P. Bjur
↦ Kevin Yakob
88′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ M. Anderson
E. Marxen 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
89′
93′
🟨 Jesper Hansen
Erik Marxen 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
27 D. Svensson D
18 M. Bidstrup M
6 J. Christensen M
10 M. Diomandé M
11 M. Hansen F
36 R. Ascone F
28 L. Coulibaly F
Bench (9)
8 E. Marcondes
32 I. Osman
9 B. Nygren
21 W. Faghir
15 E. Marxen
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
25 C. Eriksson
47 M. Munck
29 M. Dorgeles

Coach: J. Thorup

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
11 G. Links M
17 Kevin Yakob M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
19 E. Kahl M
20 M. Duelund F
9 P. Mortensen F
8 M. Anderson F
Bench (9)
6 N. Poulsen
29 F. Brandhof
21 P. Bjur
10 S. Haugen
42 J. Andersen
28 A. Daghim
41 M. Sauer
43 D. Herrington
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.