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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Aarhus
U S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Viborg
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Viborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 46%
44%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
26%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Viborg 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 27 15 4 8 +23 49
2 Nordsjaelland 27 13 8 6 +16 47
3 Viborg 27 13 7 7 +11 46
4 Aarhus 27 12 7 8 +7 43
5 Midtjylland 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Randers FC 28 10 10 8 -1 40
7 Brondby 28 11 6 11 -6 39
8 Odense 28 10 9 9 -9 39
9 Silkeborg 28 8 7 13 -8 31
10 Horsens 28 7 6 15 -21 27
11 Aalborg 28 6 8 14 -7 26
12 Lyngby 28 5 9 14 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -23 Viborg – Aarhus 0–1 6. Nov -22 Viborg – Aarhus 1–1 24. Jul -22 Aarhus – Viborg 3–1 15. May -22 Viborg – Aarhus 1–0 14. Apr -22 Aarhus – Viborg 0–2

Match report

Aarhus Viborg
Mikkel Duelund ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
20′
22′
🟨 Nicolas Bürgy
1–0 P. Mortensen ⚽
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Achouri
↦ J. Bonde
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
47′
2–0 M. Emil Madsen ⚽
49′
Kevin Yakob 🔁
↦ N. Poulsen
60′
62′
🔁 A. Jatta
↦ Renato Júnior
3–0 M. Emil Madsen ⚽
66′
Mikael Anderson 🟨
68′
76′
🔁 O. Bundgaard
↦ D. Anyembe
76′
🔁 M. Søndergaard
↦ C. Leemans
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
77′
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
77′
84′
🔁 J. Žambůrek
↦ I. Said
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
86′
A. Daghim 🔁
↦ T. Mølgaard
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
11 G. Links M
20 M. Duelund F
9 P. Mortensen F
8 M. Anderson F
Bench (9)
17 Kevin Yakob
10 S. Haugen
19 E. Kahl
29 F. Brandhof
28 A. Daghim
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
43 D. Herrington
41 M. Sauer
21 P. Bjur

Coach: U. Rösler

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
2 A. Gaaei D
4 N. Bürgy D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
24 D. Anyembe D
17 J. Bonde M
13 J. Grønning M
14 C. Leemans M
30 I. Said F
11 Renato Júnior F
28 M. Westergaard F
Bench (9)
7 E. Achouri
12 A. Jatta
23 O. Bundgaard
6 M. Søndergaard
19 J. Žambůrek
9 M. Ndione
21 S. Berger
29 Paulinho
16 M. Andersen

Coach: J. Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.