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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Hvidovre IF
S T T T T
1–4
Full-time
Midtjylland
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hvidovre IF Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
0%
54%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,4
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,43 xG 3,22
39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
24 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hvidovre IF 12. · Midtjylland 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 14 10 2 2 +15 +8.3 32
2 Brondby 13 9 1 3 +12 +3.0 28
3 Silkeborg 14 8 2 4 +12 +10.8 26
4 Nordsjaelland 14 7 4 3 +14 +9.5 25
5 Midtjylland 13 7 3 3 +2 +1.7 24
6 Aarhus 13 5 5 3 +1 +5.2 20
7 Lyngby 14 4 4 6 -7 -2.2 16
8 Viborg 14 4 4 6 -7 -0.1 16
9 Randers FC 14 3 5 6 -12 -2.5 14
10 Odense 14 3 4 7 -3 -6.6 13
11 Vejle 14 2 3 9 -6 -17.2 9
12 Hvidovre IF 13 0 3 10 -21 -9.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hvidovre IF Midtjylland
19′
Franculino Djú 0–1
27′
ℹ️ Adam Gabriel
VAR: Penalty confirmed
28′
Cho Gue-Sung 0–2
43′
S. Makienok 1–2
own goal
Half-time 1–2
M. Olsen 🔁
↦ M. Nielsen
46′
Jonas Gemmer 🟨
61′
M. Lindberg 🔁
↦ L. Qamili
65′
T. Thomsen 🔁
↦ J. Gemmer
65′
65′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
2–2 M. Fredslund
T. Thomsen
67′
72′
🔁 O. Brynhildsen
↦ Franculino Djú
72′
🔁 O. Sørensen
↦ D. Osorio
A. Smed 🔁
↦ C. Jakobsen
80′
M. Andreasen 🔁
↦ S. Makienok
80′
88′
🔁 Lee Han-Beom
↦ A. Gabriel
88′
🔁 Charles
↦ A. Şimşir
90′
O. Brynhildsen 2–3
Lee Han-Beom
Martin Spelmann 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hvidovre IF

5-3-2
1 F. Đukić G
30 M. Fredslund D
25 M. Kiilerich D
28 N. Geertsen D
2 D. Stenderup D
26 M. Nielsen D
10 M. Spelmann M
6 J. Gemmer M
14 C. Jakobsen M
7 L. Qamili F
24 S. Makienok F
Bench (9)
5 M. Olsen
11 M. Lindberg
9 T. Thomsen
22 A. Smed
27 M. Andreasen
3 P. Rejnhold
16 J. Adjei-Broni
17 M. Papuga
13 A. Kappenberger

Coach: P. Frandsen

Midtjylland

4-4-2
50 M. Fraisl G
13 A. Gabriel D
15 S. Ingason D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
11 D. Osorio M
2 A. Rømer M
8 K. Olsson M
58 A. Şimşir M
17 Franculino Djú F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (9)
44 N. Dyhr
9 O. Brynhildsen
24 O. Sørensen
3 Lee Han-Beom
35 Charles
31 C. Rust
25 I. Fossum
90 O. Hedvall
37 A. Gigović

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.