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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Aalborg
T S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Sonderjyske
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 9. · Sonderjyske 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 9 6 3 0 +9 +6.0 21
2 Aarhus 10 5 4 1 +14 +1.6 19
3 FC Copenhagen 9 5 2 2 +7 +7.7 17
4 Silkeborg 9 5 2 2 +6 +0.3 17
5 Brondby 9 4 3 2 +6 +5.7 15
6 Randers FC 10 3 5 2 +1 +0.2 14
7 Viborg 9 3 3 3 +3 -2.4 12
8 Nordsjaelland 9 3 3 3 -1 +5.2 12
9 Aalborg 9 3 0 6 -13 -8.4 9
10 Sonderjyske 9 2 2 5 -8 -8.5 8
11 Lyngby 9 1 3 5 -6 -2.7 6
12 Vejle 9 0 0 9 -18 -4.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Sonderjyske
Kasper Davidsen 🟨
8′
Bjarne Pudel 🟨
12′
22′
🟨 Jeppe Simonsen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Jørgensen
A. Jasson
48′
2–0 M. Jørgensen
61′
62′
🔁 I. Djantou
↦ L. Björklund
62′
🔁 A. Lyng
↦ M. Agger
67′
🟨 Kristall Máni Ingason
N. Helenius 🔁
↦ O. Ross
68′
M. Bomholt 🔁
↦ J. Adedeji
68′
71′
🔁 T. Sommer
↦ J. Simonsen
71′
🔁 M. Dal Hende
↦ E. Duru
3–0 M. Jørgensen
N. Helenius
77′
K. John 🔁
↦ A. Jasson
78′
M. Nielsen 🔁
↦ A. Bruus
84′
V. Damgaard 🔁
↦ M. Widell
84′
84′
🔁 O. Hyseni
↦ K. Ingason
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
1 V. Müller G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
13 B. Pudel D
14 A. Bruus D
16 K. Davidsen M
8 M. Widell M
7 J. Adedeji M
17 A. Jasson M
11 M. Jørgensen M
10 O. Ross F
Bench (9)
9 N. Helenius
21 M. Bomholt
27 K. John
5 M. Nielsen
47 V. Damgaard
37 A. Diagne
19 J. Iredale
22 R. de Boer
6 M. Jiménez

Coach: M. van Dam

Sonderjyske

4-3-3
16 J. Busk G
21 J. Simonsen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. Grétarsson D
23 E. Duru
7 S. Emini M
6 R. Vinderslev M
8 L. Björklund M
15 L. Qamili F
10 K. Ingason F
25 M. Agger F
Bench (8)
9 I. Djantou
11 A. Lyng
26 T. Sommer
5 M. Dal Hende
24 O. Hyseni
1 N. Flø
17 J. Gallegos
18 I. Nikolov

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.