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Superligaen
Referee: M Tykgaard
Viborg
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 53%
48%
57%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
65%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
57%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 1,49
49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
6 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 5. · Midtjylland 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 24 15 7 2 +23 +17.1 52
2 Midtjylland 23 13 7 3 +34 +7.8 46
3 Sonderjyske 24 10 7 7 +4 +0.0 37
4 Nordsjaelland 24 12 1 11 +1 -0.7 37
5 Viborg 23 11 3 9 +3 -0.0 36
6 Brondby 24 10 5 9 +8 +5.5 35
7 Odense 24 8 7 9 -9 +4.0 31
8 FC Copenhagen 24 8 5 11 -1 +16.2 29
9 Randers FC 24 8 5 11 -5 +4.3 29
10 Fredericia 24 8 3 13 -21 -23.6 27
11 Silkeborg 24 6 5 13 -18 -16.8 23
12 Vejle 24 3 7 14 -19 -13.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Midtjylland
7′
🟨 Gue-sung Cho
Srđan Kuzmić 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Uhre
↦ A. Simsir
53′
⚽ V. Byskov 0–1
Junior Brumado
O. Addo 🔁
↦ C. Nouck
61′
64′
🟨 Darío Osorio
Mads Søndergaard 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 A. Gabriel
↦ D. Osorio
1–1 D. Hanza ⚽
M. Sondergaard
70′
O. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ H. Bidstrup
76′
A. Beck 🔁
↦ M. Sondergaard
76′
M. Hoedemakers 🔁
↦ T. Jorgensen
76′
80′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ V. Bak
80′
🔁 M. Gogorza
↦ Cho Gue-Sung
86′
🔁 O. Diao
↦ V. Byskov
91′
ℹ️ Mads Bech Sørensen
VAR: Goal cancelled
T. Freriks 🔁
↦ S. Jalal
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
26 H. Bidstrup D
32 L. Kirkegaard D
24 D. Anyembe D
30 S. Kuzmic D
10 T. Jorgensen M
13 J. Gronning M
6 M. Sondergaard M
29 S. Jalal F
19 D. Hanza F
11 C. Nouck F
Bench (9)
16 F. Djukic
5 Z. Zaletel
55 S. Radic
14 I. Sigurgeirsson
23 O. Bundgaard
8 A. Beck
17 O. Addo
4 M. Hoedemakers
9 T. Freriks

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Midtjylland

3-4-3
16 E. Olafsson G
3 Lee Han-Beom D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
20 V. Byskov M
19 P. Bravo M
55 V. Bak M
74 Junior Brumado F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
58 A. Simsir F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lossl
30 O. Ejeheri
14 E. Chilufya
29 Paulinho
17 M. Uhre
13 A. Gabriel
4 O. Diao
39 Junior Ze
41 M. Gogorza

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Tykgaard · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.