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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Aarhus

T S S T U

5–2

Full-time

Viborg

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 55%

65%

45%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

55%

65%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,71 xG 1,73

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 2. · Viborg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	21	13	6	2	+35	+7.1	45
2	Aarhus	20	13	5	2	+19	+16.4	44
3	Brondby	20	10	2	8	+9	+8.9	32
4	Sonderjyske	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.8	32
5	Nordsjaelland	21	10	1	10	-1	+0.0	31
6	Viborg	20	9	3	8	+4	-2.5	30
7	FC Copenhagen	21	8	5	8	+2	+12.8	29
8	Odense	21	7	6	8	-9	+3.1	27
9	Randers FC	21	6	5	10	-6	+3.6	23
10	Fredericia	21	6	3	12	-20	-18.9	21
11	Silkeborg	21	5	4	12	-20	-16.4	19
12	Vejle	21	3	5	13	-18	-13.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.0	24
2	Aarhus	10	7	1	2	+9	+15.3	22
3	Sonderjyske	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.7	20
4	Nordsjaelland	11	6	1	4	+8	+6.7	19
5	Brondby	10	5	2	3	+5	+5.1	17
6	Viborg	10	5	1	4	+3	-3.2	16
7	Odense	11	4	3	4	-4	+5.2	15
8	Randers FC	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.3	14
9	FC Copenhagen	10	3	4	3	+0	+9.3	13
10	Vejle	10	3	2	5	-1	-2.8	11
11	Silkeborg	11	3	2	6	-8	-3.2	11
12	Fredericia	10	2	2	6	-12	-8.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+10	+1.1	22
2	Midtjylland	11	6	3	2	+15	-0.9	21
3	FC Copenhagen	11	5	1	5	+2	+3.5	16
4	Brondby	10	5	0	5	+4	+3.8	15
5	Viborg	10	4	2	4	+1	+0.7	14
6	Fredericia	11	4	1	6	-8	-10.6	13
7	Sonderjyske	10	3	3	4	-2	-3.5	12
8	Odense	10	3	3	4	-5	-2.0	12
9	Nordsjaelland	10	4	0	6	-9	-6.7	12
10	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-3	+3.3	9
11	Silkeborg	10	2	2	6	-12	-13.2	8
12	Vejle	11	0	3	8	-17	-10.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.