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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
AIK
S T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 10. · Djurgarden 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hammarby 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 Goteborg 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Mjallby 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Malmo FF 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Djurgarden 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Sirius 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 Kalmar 4 2 0 2 +3 6
9 Varberg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 AIK 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Elfsborg 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 -2 3
13 Sundsvall 4 1 0 3 -6 3
14 Varnamo 4 0 2 2 -4 2
15 Norrkoping 4 0 1 3 -3 1
16 Degerfors 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Djurgarden
Bilal Hussein 🟨
35′
37′
🟨 Piotr Johansson
1–0 N. Stefanelli
B. Hussein
45′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 J. Asoro
↦ G. Wikheim
61′
🔁 I. Hien
↦ J. Löfgren
61′
🔁 E. Andersson
↦ M. Eriksson
A. Björnström 🔁
↦ Z. Elbouzedi
70′
Y. Ayari 🔁
↦ B. Hussein
74′
78′
🟨 Isak Hien
79′
🔁 K. Holmberg
↦ E. Banda
P. Karlsson 🔁
↦ N. Stefanelli
82′
Alexander Milošević 🟨
92′
Kristoffer Nordfeldt 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
33 M. Lustig D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
5 A. Milošević D
25 E. Otieno D
7 S. Larsson M
10 N. Bahoui F
20 Z. Elbouzedi M
8 B. Hussein M
9 N. Stefanelli M
19 J. Larsson F
Bench (7)
12 A. Björnström
26 Y. Ayari
3 P. Karlsson
2 J. Mendes
24 J. Ceesay
23 B. Janošević
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka

Coach: B. Grzelak

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
4 J. Löfgren D
3 H. Ekdal D
9 H. Radetinac D
7 M. Eriksson M
23 G. Wikheim M
99 S. Hakšabanović M
13 H. Finndell M
12 E. Banda M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (7)
10 J. Asoro
18 I. Hien
8 E. Andersson
17 K. Holmberg
25 A. Doumbouya
15 A. Vasyutin
27 M. Jonsson

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.