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Serie B
Referee: L Marinelli
Salernitana
S T T U U
0–2
Full-time
Bari
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
42%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
25 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 16. · Bari 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Pisa 13 8 4 1 +11 28
3 Spezia 13 7 6 0 +11 27
4 Cesena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
5 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
6 Cosenza 13 4 6 3 +0 18
7 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
8 Brescia 13 5 2 6 -2 17
9 Juve Stabia 13 4 5 4 -3 17
10 Mantova 13 4 4 5 -3 16
11 Catanzaro 13 2 9 2 +2 15
12 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
13 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
14 Modena 13 3 5 5 -1 14
15 Reggiana 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
17 Carrarese 13 3 4 6 -4 13
18 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
19 Cittadella 13 3 4 6 -10 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Bari
A. Hrustić 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
12′
29′
K. Lasagna 0–1
A. Oliveri
36′
A. Novakovich 0–2
M. Dorval
Half-time 0–2
D. Bronn 🔁
↦ L. Amatucci
46′
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ P. Stojanović
46′
Petar Stojanović 🟨
47′
56′
🔁 C. Favasuli
↦ M. Dorval
56′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ G. Sibilli
61′
🟨 Ahmad Benali
S. Nwankwo 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
64′
J. Braaf 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
65′
69′
🔁 L. Sgarbi
↦ K. Lasagna
Dylan Bronn 🟨
79′
85′
🟨 Valerio Mantovani
86′
🔁 C. Saco
↦ Ahmad Benali
87′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ A. Novakovich
92′
🟨 Andrea Favilli
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Salernitana

4-3-1-2
1 V. Fiorillo G
30 P. Stojanović D
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
17 L. Njoh D
70 A. Tello M
73 L. Amatucci M
25 G. Maggiore M
21 R. Soriano M
31 D. Verde F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (12)
8 A. Hrustić
15 D. Bronn
29 P. Ghiglione
9 S. Nwankwo
24 J. Braaf
2 D. Gentile
22 G. Salvati
77 A. Sfait
12 F. Corriere
11 Y. Kallon
4 T. Velthuis
23 N. Dalmonte

Coach: G. Martusciello

Bari

3-4-3
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
44 L. Šimić D
3 V. Mantovani D
7 A. Oliveri M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
93 M. Dorval M
15 K. Lasagna F
9 A. Novakovich F
20 G. Sibilli F
Bench (12)
27 C. Favasuli
28 N. Lella
11 L. Sgarbi
94 C. Saco
99 A. Favilli
10 N. Bellomo
22 M. Pissardo
55 N. Obaretin
23 F. Vicari
18 G. Manzari
17 R. Maiello
13 A. Tripaldelli

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,14
B ✓
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.