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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Jagiellonia

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Rakow

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 68%

71%

64%

Points per game

2,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

50%

14%

Both score Ø 32%

50%

14%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,01 xG 1,92

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 10

11 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Jagiellonia 2. · Rakow 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	10	1	3	+15	+7.7	31
2	Jagiellonia	14	10	1	3	+7	-1.0	31
3	Rakow	14	9	3	2	+13	+9.3	30
4	Cracovia	15	9	2	4	+9	+0.7	29
5	Legia	14	7	4	3	+12	+7.7	25
6	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	1	7	+1	+4.9	22
7	Widzew Lodz	15	6	4	5	+1	-1.1	22
8	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+2	+2.6	21
9	Motor Lublin	15	6	3	6	-5	-3.2	21
10	Piast Gliwice	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.5	20
11	GKS Katowice	15	5	4	6	+2	+2.7	19
12	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-7	-2.4	18
13	Radomiak Radom	14	5	1	8	-2	-1.1	16
14	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-10	-1.8	16
15	Stal Mielec	15	4	3	8	-5	+3.9	15
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	2	5	8	-11	-14.4	11
17	Puszcza	15	2	5	8	-12	-11.9	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	14	1	6	7	-11	-2.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	8	7	0	1	+10	+8.3	21
2	Lech Poznan	7	6	0	1	+12	+7.1	18
3	Legia	8	5	1	2	+10	+5.8	16
4	Jagiellonia	7	5	1	1	+6	+3.3	16
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+3	+8.0	14
6	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+6	+4.8	13
7	Zaglebie	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.7	13
8	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+2	+0.1	13
9	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.3	11
10	Motor Lublin	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.6	11
11	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+3	+3.3	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+2	+3.8	10
13	Piast Gliwice	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.9	9
14	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+1	-2.5	9
15	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-3.6	9
16	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	4	2	-2	+0.9	7
17	Korona Kielce	7	2	1	4	-3	+2.4	7
18	Lechia Gdansk	7	1	2	4	-5	-8.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	7	6	0	1	+8	+0.9	18
2	Rakow	7	5	2	0	+7	+4.5	17
3	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+1	-4.3	15
4	Lech Poznan	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.6	13
5	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	+0	-1.2	11
6	Piast Gliwice	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.4	11
7	GKS Katowice	7	3	1	3	+1	+5.2	10
8	Motor Lublin	7	3	1	3	-4	-2.6	10
9	Legia	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.9	9
10	Widzew Lodz	8	2	3	3	-1	-1.2	9
11	Korona Kielce	8	2	3	3	-7	-4.2	9
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	0	5	-5	-4.4	6
13	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	3	4	-6	-6.5	6
14	Zaglebie	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.1	5
15	Slask Wroclaw	7	0	2	5	-9	-2.9	2
16	Puszcza	8	0	2	6	-10	-8.3	2
17	Stal Mielec	7	0	1	6	-8	-4.1	1
18	Pogon Szczecin	7	0	1	6	-9	-3.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.