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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Bodo/Glimt
U S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 52%
59%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
41%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,60 xG 0,71
68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bodo/Glimt 2. · Fredrikstad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brann 28 17 7 4 +23 +15.5 58
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 16 7 4 +35 +21.2 55
3 Viking 28 15 8 5 +18 +14.8 53
4 Molde 28 14 7 7 +28 +18.5 49
5 Rosenborg 28 15 4 9 +9 +2.5 49
6 Fredrikstad 27 12 8 7 +2 +4.1 44
7 Stromsgodset 28 9 8 11 -7 -6.9 35
8 KFUM Oslo 28 8 10 10 -2 +5.1 34
9 Ham-Kam 28 8 9 11 -2 -5.9 33
10 Sarpsborg 08 28 9 6 13 -13 -5.2 33
11 Sandefjord 28 8 7 13 -7 -2.3 31
12 Kristiansund 28 7 10 11 -10 -9.9 31
13 Tromso 28 8 6 14 -11 -13.1 30
14 Haugesund 28 8 6 14 -14 -8.2 30
15 Lillestrom 28 7 3 18 -24 -8.4 24
16 Odd 28 5 8 15 -25 -21.7 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Fredrikstad
40′
S. Molde 0–1
J. Bjartalíð
Half-time 0–1
A. Helmersen 🔁
↦ I. Määttä
46′
50′
🟨 Patrick Metcalfe
Jostein Gundersen 🟨
57′
66′
🟨 Sondre Sørløkk
Jostein Gundersen 🟨
67′
Jostein Gundersen 🟥
67′
71′
🟨 Morten Bjorlo
V. Nielsen 🔁
↦ P. Zinckernagel
74′
U. Saltnes 🔁
↦ S. Fet
74′
1–1 P. Berg
75′
B. Wembangomo 🔁
↦ F. Sjøvold
76′
78′
🔁 B. Hendriksson
↦ P. Metcalfe
78′
🔁 H. Skogvold
↦ S. Sørløkk
2–1 A. Helmersen
J. Hauge
79′
Ulrik Saltnes 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ M. Bjørlo
83′
🔁 J. Kjær
↦ S. Rafn
83′
🔁 D. Eid
↦ F. Fall
88′
H. Skogvold 2–2
B. Hendriksson
S. Sørli 🔁
↦ H. Evjen
89′
93′
🟨 Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjøvold D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjørkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
25 I. Määttä F
77 P. Zinckernagel F
23 J. Hauge F
Bench (9)
21 A. Helmersen
2 V. Nielsen
14 U. Saltnes
5 B. Wembangomo
27 S. Sørli
44 M. Brøndbo
8 S. Auklend
94 A. Mikkelsen
3 O. Elabdellaoui

Coach: K. Knutsen

Fredrikstad

5-3-2
30 J. Fischer G
5 S. Rafn D
22 M. Woledzi D
17 S. Kvile D
15 F. Fall D
4 S. Molde D
12 P. Metcalfe M
10 M. Bjørlo M
19 J. Magnússon M
14 J. Bjartalíð F
13 S. Sørløkk F
Bench (9)
7 B. Hendriksson
23 H. Skogvold
9 H. Johansen
20 J. Kjær
16 D. Eid
28 I. Hermansen
1 H. Jenssen
6 P. Aukland
3 B. Skaret

Coach: A. Hagen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.