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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Getafe
S U U U T
0–1
Full-time
Girona
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
8%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
8%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,61 xG 0,19
47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 3
0 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
25 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 17. · Girona 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 12 11 0 1 +29 +16.1 33
2 Real Madrid 12 8 3 1 +14 +11.1 27
3 Ath Madrid 13 7 5 1 +12 +9.6 26
4 Villarreal 12 7 3 2 +4 +4.5 24
5 Osasuna 13 6 3 4 -3 -3.6 21
6 Betis 13 5 5 3 +2 +4.2 20
7 Ath Bilbao 12 5 4 3 +6 +5.0 19
8 Mallorca 13 5 3 5 +0 +3.2 18
9 Celta 13 5 2 6 -2 +2.8 17
10 Vallecano 12 4 4 4 +0 -0.3 16
11 Sociedad 12 4 3 5 +0 +2.1 15
12 Girona 12 4 3 5 -2 +3.5 15
13 Sevilla 13 4 3 6 -6 -2.8 15
14 Leganes 13 3 5 5 -3 -10.1 14
15 Alaves 13 4 1 8 -8 -4.6 13
16 Las Palmas 13 3 3 7 -6 -12.1 12
17 Getafe 12 1 7 4 -2 +1.8 10
18 Espanol 12 3 1 8 -11 -10.9 10
19 Valladolid 12 2 2 8 -15 -9.5 8
20 Valencia 11 1 4 6 -9 -9.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Girona
34′
🟨 Donny van de Beek
Yellu Santiago ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
35′
Diego Rico 🟨
38′
39′
🟨 Oriol Romeu
40′
🟨 Yangel Herrera
42′
Y. Herrera 0–1
Bryan Gil
Half-time 0–1
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ Yellu Santiago
46′
Álex Sola 🔁
↦ A. Nyom
64′
Á. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Carles Pérez
64′
73′
🔁 Silvi
↦ D. van de Beek
73′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ B. Miovski
73′
🔁 Ferrán Ruiz
↦ Y. Herrera
Carles Aleñá 🔁
↦ C. Uche
85′
Álex Sola 🟨
87′
89′
🔁 Kim Min-Su
↦ Bryan Gil
Bertuğ Yıldırım 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Getafe

4-2-3-1
13 David Soria G
21 Juan Iglesias D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
16 Diego Rico D
20 Yellu Santiago M
8 M. Arambarri M
12 A. Nyom M
5 Luis Milla M
17 Carles Pérez M
6 C. Uche F
Bench (9)
10 B. Yıldırım
7 Álex Sola
18 Á. Rodríguez
11 Carles Aleñá
31 J. Patrick
19 P. González
27 N. Aberdin
34 David Argüelles
1 J. Letáček

Coach: José Bordalás

Girona

4-2-3-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 Arnau Martínez D
15 Juanpe D
5 David López D
17 D. Blind D
21 Y. Herrera M
14 Oriol Romeu M
20 Bryan Gil M
6 D. van de Beek M
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M
19 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
28 Silvi
7 C. Stuani
45 Ferrán Ruiz
29 Kim Min-Su
46 D. Camara
25 Pau López
44 P. Ba
31 Jastin García
42 Lucas García

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,10
B ✓
3,15
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.