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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Sion

U T U T U

4–2

Full-time

Luzern

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

23%

46%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

38%

69%

Both score Ø 58%

46%

69%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,31 xG 0,92

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sion 9. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	14	7	5	2	+7	-1.0	26
2	Basel	14	8	1	5	+20	+9.0	25
3	Lugano	13	7	4	2	+7	+1.8	25
4	Servette	14	7	4	3	+2	+0.9	25
5	Luzern	13	6	4	3	+6	+2.6	22
6	Lausanne	14	6	2	6	+2	+9.1	20
7	St. Gallen	13	4	5	4	+5	-3.1	17
8	Yverdon	14	4	3	7	-10	-9.8	15
9	Sion	13	3	5	5	-2	+6.6	14
10	Young Boys	13	3	4	6	-6	-1.9	13
11	Winterthur	14	3	2	9	-21	-13.4	11
12	Grasshoppers	13	2	3	8	-10	-0.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	7	5	1	1	+7	+3.7	16
2	Lausanne	7	5	0	2	+7	+8.1	15
3	Servette	7	4	2	1	+1	+0.5	14
4	Luzern	7	4	1	2	+5	+6.0	13
5	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+7	+0.4	12
6	Basel	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
7	Zurich	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.3	12
8	Sion	7	2	4	1	+4	+8.5	10
9	Yverdon	7	3	1	3	-4	-1.7	10
10	Winterthur	7	3	1	3	-6	-3.8	10
11	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.3	8
12	Grasshoppers	6	1	3	2	-2	+3.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	7	4	2	1	+4	+1.3	14
2	Basel	8	4	1	3	+14	+2.2	13
3	Servette	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.3	11
4	Luzern	6	2	3	1	+1	-3.4	9
5	Lugano	6	2	3	1	+0	-1.9	9
6	St. Gallen	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.5	5
7	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-5	+1.0	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-6	-8.1	5
9	Young Boys	7	1	2	4	-6	+2.5	5
10	Sion	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.9	4
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	0	6	-8	-4.2	3
12	Winterthur	7	0	1	6	-15	-9.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.