Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Preston
Bristol City
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leicester
|
27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | +34 | +23.0 | 65 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | +15 | +11.4 | 55 |
| 3 |
Southampton
|
25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | +14 | +17.5 | 49 |
| 4 |
Leeds
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +19 | +19.1 | 45 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +13 | +5.1 | 42 |
| 6 |
Coventry
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | +12 | +6.5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Sunderland
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | +8 | +12.8 | 40 |
| 8 |
Hull
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +3 | +6.6 | 39 |
| 9 |
Norwich
|
26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | +2 | -5.4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Cardiff
|
26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | +1 | -8.9 | 37 |
| 11 |
Watford
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +6 | +3.9 | 36 |
| 12 |
Bristol City
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +2 | +2.5 | 36 |
| 13 |
Middlesbrough
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | -1 | +11.9 | 36 |
| 14 |
Preston
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -13 | -10.3 | 35 |
| 15 |
Millwall
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -3 | -5.5 | 32 |
| 16 |
Swansea
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -4 | -10.0 | 32 |
| 17 |
Blackburn
|
26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | -9 | -1.9 | 32 |
| 18 |
Plymouth
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -2 | -12.5 | 29 |
| 19 |
Stoke
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -7 | -2.5 | 29 |
| 20 |
Birmingham
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -11 | -4.9 | 28 |
| 21 |
Huddersfield
|
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -18 | -14.4 | 25 |
| 22 |
Sheffield Weds
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -19 | -4.6 | 22 |
| 23 |
QPR
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -16 | -10.6 | 21 |
| 24 |
Rotherham
|
26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -26 | -29.0 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Woodman
G
J. Storey
D
L. Lindsay
D
A. Hughes
D
B. Whiteman
M
A. Browne
M
A. McCann
M
L. Millar
M
M. Osmajić
F
Coach: R. Lowe
M. O’Leary
G
G. Tanner
D
Z. Vyner
D
R. Dickie
D
S. Bell
M
J. Williams
M
C. Pring
M
J. Knight
F
A. Mehmeti
F
T. Conway
F
Coach: L. Manning
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Chelsea
Preston
Sunderland
Preston
Preston
Sheffield Weds
Preston
Leeds
Swansea
Preston
S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.