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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Monaco
S S T S U
1–3
Full-time
Reims
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 53%
59%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,18 xG 1,54
57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 3. · Reims 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 12 4 1 +28 +18.2 40
2 Nice 17 10 5 2 +10 +9.2 35
3 Monaco 17 10 3 4 +11 +6.2 33
4 Brest 17 9 4 4 +10 +3.7 31
5 Marseille 18 7 7 4 +7 +13.6 28
6 Lille 17 7 7 3 +7 +6.5 28
7 Lens 17 7 5 5 +4 +1.4 26
8 Reims 17 8 2 7 -1 +3.2 26
9 Strasbourg 18 6 6 6 -4 -2.8 24
10 Rennes 17 4 7 6 +1 +6.0 19
11 Montpellier 17 4 7 6 -2 +3.1 19
12 Le Havre 17 4 7 6 -3 -7.2 19
13 Nantes 17 5 3 9 -9 -8.6 18
14 Lyon 17 4 4 9 -11 -6.0 16
15 Metz 17 4 4 9 -11 -12.3 16
16 Toulouse 17 2 8 7 -8 -10.7 14
17 Lorient 17 2 6 9 -14 -10.8 12
18 Clermont 17 2 5 10 -15 -12.6 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Reims
Soungoutou Magassa 🟨
34′
35′
T. Teuma 0–1
M. Daramy
Half-time 0–1
F. Balogun 🔁
↦ M. Akliouche
46′
46′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ V. Atangana Edoa
1–1 W. Ben Yedder
A. Golovin
49′
55′
R. Khadra 1–2
57′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ M. Diakhon
62′
🟨 Thibault De Smet
M. Boadu 🔁
↦ Y. Fofana
72′
79′
🔁 J. Wilson-Esbrand
↦ R. Khadra
80′
🟨 Joseph Okumu
Vanderson 🟨
82′
A. Cartillier 🔁
↦ K. Ouattara
82′
87′
🔁 A. Bojang
↦ M. Daramy
Wissam Ben Yedder 🟨
92′
95′
A. Matusiwa 1–3
J. Wilson-Esbrand
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Monaco

3-4-2-1
16 P. Köhn G
88 S. Magassa D
3 G. Maripán D
5 T. Kehrer D
2 Vanderson M
19 Y. Fofana M
6 D. Zakaria M
20 K. Ouattara M
21 M. Akliouche F
17 A. Golovin F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
29 F. Balogun
9 M. Boadu
41 A. Cartillier
1 R. Majecki
46 A. Platret
44 M. Efekele
42 M. Coulibaly
34 C. Matsima
37 E. Diop

Coach: A. Hütter

Reims

4-3-3
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
2 J. Okumu D
24 E. Agbadou D
25 T. De Smet D
6 V. Atangana Edoa M
21 A. Matusiwa M
10 T. Teuma M
67 M. Diakhon F
14 R. Khadra F
9 M. Daramy F
Bench (9)
72 A. Koné
11 A. Salama
19 J. Wilson-Esbrand
27 A. Bojang
56 K. Prouchet
96 A. Olliero
71 Y. Fofana
53 A. Tchaptchet
55 N. Sangui

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
4,11
B ✓
4,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.