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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Rennes

T T U S S

2–0

Full-time

Nice

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 42%

24%

59%

Points per game

1,1

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

53%

18%

Both score Ø 47%

65%

29%

Average goals

2,6

1,6

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,06 xG 0,66

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 10. · Nice 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	4	1	+28	+18.2	40
2	Nice	17	10	5	2	+10	+9.2	35
3	Monaco	18	10	3	5	+9	+5.8	33
4	Brest	17	9	4	4	+10	+3.7	31
5	Reims	18	9	2	7	+1	+3.5	29
6	Marseille	18	7	7	4	+7	+13.6	28
7	Lille	17	7	7	3	+7	+6.5	28
8	Lens	17	7	5	5	+4	+1.4	26
9	Strasbourg	18	6	6	6	-4	-2.8	24
10	Rennes	17	4	7	6	+1	+6.0	19
11	Montpellier	17	4	7	6	-2	+3.1	19
12	Le Havre	17	4	7	6	-3	-7.2	19
13	Nantes	17	5	3	9	-9	-8.6	18
14	Lyon	17	4	4	9	-11	-6.0	16
15	Metz	17	4	4	9	-11	-12.3	16
16	Toulouse	17	2	8	7	-8	-10.7	14
17	Lorient	17	2	6	9	-14	-10.8	12
18	Clermont	17	2	5	10	-15	-12.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	1	1	+17	+10.2	22
2	Marseille	9	6	3	0	+12	+10.4	21
3	Nice	9	6	3	0	+9	+6.2	21
4	Monaco	9	6	0	3	+8	+4.3	18
5	Lens	8	5	2	1	+8	+6.0	17
6	Lille	8	5	2	1	+7	+7.4	17
7	Brest	8	4	3	1	+8	+6.7	15
8	Strasbourg	9	4	3	2	+3	+2.1	15
9	Reims	8	5	0	3	+1	+4.5	15
10	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+4	+6.3	12
11	Nantes	9	3	3	3	+1	-1.6	12
12	Le Havre	8	3	2	3	+1	+3.2	11
13	Montpellier	9	1	6	2	-1	+4.3	9
14	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	-4.6	9
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-5	+0.1	9
16	Toulouse	8	1	5	2	+1	-0.5	8
17	Metz	8	1	3	4	-2	-1.6	6
18	Clermont	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	5	3	0	+11	+8.0	18
2	Brest	9	5	1	3	+2	-3.0	16
3	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+1	+1.5	15
4	Nice	8	4	2	2	+1	+3.0	14
5	Reims	10	4	2	4	+0	-1.0	14
6	Lille	9	2	5	2	+0	-0.9	11
7	Montpellier	8	3	1	4	-1	-1.2	10
8	Metz	9	3	1	5	-9	-10.8	10
9	Lens	9	2	3	4	-4	-4.6	9
10	Strasbourg	9	2	3	4	-7	-4.9	9
11	Le Havre	9	1	5	3	-4	-10.3	8
12	Rennes	8	1	4	3	-3	-0.3	7
13	Marseille	9	1	4	4	-5	+3.2	7
14	Lyon	8	2	1	5	-6	-6.0	7
15	Clermont	8	1	3	4	-6	-7.1	6
16	Toulouse	9	1	3	5	-9	-10.2	6
17	Nantes	8	2	0	6	-10	-7.0	6
18	Lorient	8	0	3	5	-11	-6.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.