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Serie B
Referee: M Marcenaro
Sudtirol
T T S T T
1–0
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 21%
26%
16%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 61%
68%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 15. · FeralpiSalo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 19 12 5 2 +20 41
2 Venezia 19 10 5 4 +11 35
3 Como 19 10 5 4 +4 35
4 Catanzaro 20 10 3 7 +6 33
5 Cittadella 19 9 6 4 +5 33
6 Cremonese 19 9 5 5 +12 32
7 Palermo 19 9 5 5 +9 32
8 Modena 19 7 7 5 -3 28
9 Brescia 19 6 7 6 +0 25
10 Sampdoria 19 7 4 8 -1 25
11 Bari 19 4 11 4 -2 23
12 Reggiana 19 5 8 6 -3 23
13 Pisa 19 5 7 7 -3 22
14 Cosenza 19 5 6 8 -2 21
15 Sudtirol 19 5 5 9 -2 20
16 Lecco 20 5 5 10 -11 20
17 Ternana 19 4 6 9 -4 18
18 Ascoli 19 4 5 10 -7 17
19 Spezia 19 3 8 8 -11 17
20 FeralpiSalo 19 3 5 11 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol FeralpiSalo
Daniele Casiraghi 🟨
32′
34′
🟨 Bruno Martella
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Luca Fiordilino
E. Pecorino 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
60′
Jérémie Broh 🟨
63′
J. Kurtič 🔁
↦ J. Broh
68′
71′
🔁 M. Zennaro
↦ C. Kourfalidis
73′
🟨 Davide Balestrero
1–0 D. Casiraghi
R. Ciervo
76′
78′
🔁 A. La Mantia
↦ K. Butić
A. Giorgini 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
83′
A. Cisco 🔁
↦ R. Ciervo
83′
A. Moutassime 🔁
↦ N. Rauti
83′
86′
🔁 M. Sau
↦ D. Di Molfetta
86′
🔁 A. Pietrelli
↦ L. Fiordilino
86′
🔁 D. Hergheligiu
↦ D. Balestrero
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
28 R. Kofler D
2 F. Scaglia D
55 A. Masiello D
3 A. Cagnano D
11 R. Ciervo M
15 J. Broh M
21 F. Tait M
17 D. Casiraghi M
33 S. Merkaj F
23 N. Rauti F
Bench (11)
9 E. Pecorino
27 J. Kurtič
30 A. Giorgini
26 A. Cisco
70 A. Moutassime
34 J. Tschöll
90 R. Odogwu
12 G. Drago
77 L. Lonardi
8 G. Lunetta
5 K. Vinetot

Coach: F. Valente

FeralpiSalo

3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco G
8 D. Balestrero D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
87 B. Martella D
66 F. Bergonzi M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
10 D. Di Molfetta M
97 M. Felici M
14 M. Compagnon F
9 K. Butić F
Bench (11)
20 M. Zennaro
91 A. La Mantia
25 M. Sau
99 A. Pietrelli
27 D. Hergheligiu
3 M. Tonetto
34 S. Minelli
61 G. Volpe
19 A. Pilati
77 B. Gjyla
29 M. Verzelletti

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,01
B
3,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.