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Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
S S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Rakow
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 5. · Rakow 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cracovia 21 12 3 6 +14 39
2 Legia 20 12 2 6 +20 38
3 Slask Wroclaw 21 9 8 4 +6 35
4 Pogon Szczecin 20 10 5 5 +6 35
5 Lech Poznan 20 8 7 5 +13 31
6 Lechia Gdansk 21 8 7 6 +1 31
7 Piast Gliwice 20 9 4 7 +1 31
8 Wisla Plock 20 9 3 8 -7 30
9 Jagiellonia 20 8 5 7 +5 29
10 Zaglebie 20 8 4 8 +3 28
11 Rakow 20 9 1 10 -5 28
12 Gornik Zabrze 21 5 9 7 -3 24
13 Korona Kielce 21 6 4 11 -12 22
14 Arka Gdynia 21 5 6 10 -12 21
15 Wisla 20 5 2 13 -13 17
16 LKS Lodz 20 4 2 14 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Aug -19 Rakow – Lech Poznan 2–3

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.