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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Wolfsburg
S S S U T
1–3
Full-time
M'gladbach
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
7 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 3. · M'gladbach 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +18 16
2 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 +9 13
3 Wolfsburg 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Dortmund 6 4 0 2 +5 12
5 Freiburg 6 3 3 0 +5 12
6 FC Koln 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Mainz 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Union Berlin 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Hoffenheim 6 2 2 2 +3 8
10 RB Leipzig 6 2 1 3 +5 7
11 M'gladbach 6 2 1 3 -3 7
12 Hertha 6 2 0 4 -11 6
13 Stuttgart 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 Ein Frankfurt 6 0 5 1 -3 5
15 Augsburg 6 1 2 3 -9 5
16 Bielefeld 6 0 4 2 -3 4
17 Bochum 6 1 1 4 -9 4
18 Greuther Furth 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg M'gladbach
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
4′
5′
B. Embolo 0–1
D. Zakaria
7′
J. Hofmann 0–2
B. Embolo
Ridle Baku 🟨
10′
1–2 L. Waldschmidt
24′
35′
🟨 Lars Stindl
36′
🟨 Denis Zakaria
Half-time 1–2
J. Brooks 🔁
↦ S. Bornauw
46′
J. Roussillon 🔁
↦ Y. Gerhardt
46′
58′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ L. Netz
Kevin Mbabu 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 C. Kramer
↦ K. Koné
L. Nmecha 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
66′
Maxence Lacroix 🟨
67′
71′
🟨 Jordan Beyer
Maxence Lacroix 🟨
76′
Maxence Lacroix 🟥
76′
M. Philipp 🔁
↦ R. Baku
79′
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ J. Guilavogui
79′
Wout Weghorst 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 A. Pléa
↦ L. Stindl
Jérôme Roussillon 🟨
93′
95′
J. Scally 1–3
Y. Sommer
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
19 K. Mbabu D
20 R. Baku M
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt D
9 W. Weghorst F
7 L. Waldschmidt M
28 D. Lukébakio M
Bench (9)
25 J. Brooks
15 J. Roussillon
10 L. Nmecha
17 M. Philipp
33 D. Ginczek
12 P. Pervan
8 A. Vranckx
11 R. Steffen
22 F. Nmecha

Coach: M. van Bommel

M'gladbach

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
15 L. Beyer D
29 J. Scally M
20 L. Netz M
13 L. Stindl F
23 J. Hofmann M
8 D. Zakaria M
17 K. Koné M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
7 P. Herrmann
6 C. Kramer
14 A. Pléa
24 T. Jantschke
21 T. Sippel
37 K. Bennetts
22 L. Bénes
11 H. Wolf
32 F. Neuhaus

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U
3,52
B ✓
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.