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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Montpellier

T S U U T

1–1

Full-time

Strasbourg

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,8

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 14. · Strasbourg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+15	24
2	Lens	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Nice	7	4	2	1	+12	14
4	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Angers	8	3	4	1	+4	13
6	Lorient	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Monaco	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Lille	8	3	2	3	-3	11
10	Nantes	8	3	1	4	+1	10
11	Strasbourg	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Rennes	8	2	3	3	+1	9
14	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-8	9
16	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-6	7
17	Troyes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Metz	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Brest	8	0	4	4	-7	4
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Lyon	5	2	3	0	+4	9
3	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
12	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
13	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Monaco	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Metz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.